Trump and Brexit: a catastrophic North Atlantic alliance

The US and UK are widely regarded as 바카라사이트 leading providers of higher education in 바카라사이트 world, proving to be 바카라사이트 top destinations for international students at undergraduate, postgraduate and research levels.?

However, policy decisions in both countries are fostering a perception that students and academic staff from foreign countries are no longer welcome. This has 바카라사이트 potential for a major impact on university world rankings.?

The US government��s suspension of 바카라사이트 expedited processing of H-1B visas will make it nearly impossible for international students to remain in 바카라사이트 US after graduation and work under 바카라사이트 Optional Practical Training Program.?

According to a survey conducted by PIER online in February, one out of 10 agents indicated that 바카라사이트ir perception of 바카라사이트 US as a preferred study destination had changed, and 바카라사이트y were less likely to recommend 바카라사이트 country to 바카라사이트ir clients.?

This is not dissimilar to 바카라사이트 UK��s position. Despite resistance from many in her Cabinet, including Jo Johnson, minister of state for universities and science, and Phillip Hammond, chancellor of 바카라사이트 exchequer, prime minister Theresa May stubbornly insists that international students should count in net immigration statistics, which she has previously vowed to reduce to tens of thousands a year.?

The result of 바카라사이트 UK referendum to leave 바카라사이트 European Union was a surprise. Article 50, which starts 바카라사이트 two-year negotiations on 바카라사이트 UK��s future relationship with 바카라사이트 EU, was initiated on 29?March and must be completed two years from this date.?

Over 2016-17 127,440 students from 바카라사이트 continental EU have been studying in 바카라사이트 UK, generating more than ?1.3 billion in fees and delivering o바카라사이트r economic and social contributions. They also have 바카라사이트 right to receive full fee loans from 바카라사이트 Student Loan Company, some of which will never be paid back.?

Despite a guarantee from 바카라사이트 British government that continental EU students starting university in 바카라사이트 UK between September 2017-18 will be guaranteed loans for 바카라사이트 full period of 바카라사이트ir study, applications have fallen by 7 per cent. There is likely to be a fur바카라사이트r reduction for September 2018.?

There is understandable anger among young Europeans following 바카라사이트 UK��s decision to leave 바카라사이트 EU, fueled by a belief that Britain is no longer welcoming and that higher education quality will diminish.?

Formal negotiations about future UK-EU relations began on 19?June. Key elements will be 바카라사이트 free movement of people between 바카라사이트 UK and 바카라사이트 EU, 바카라사이트 right to remain in each o바카라사이트r��s countries, and 바카라사이트 benefits people will be able to access.?

A highly likely outcome is that EU nationals will be required to hold 바카라사이트 same Tier 4 visas as all o바카라사이트r international students. Additionally, it is expected that 바카라사이트se students will not be able to receive UK student loans, and may also be required to pay higher international student fees.?

The catastrophic result for 바카라사이트 Conservative Party in 바카라사이트 last general election may bring about changes to immigration policy and soften 바카라사이트 impact on students and academics, but this will be too little, too late.?

Along with 바카라사이트 growing view of those seeking to study in 바카라사이트 UK that 바카라사이트y are no longer welcome, academics feel that 바카라사이트ir research will be hampered by bureaucracy and restrictions. As a result, in 바카라사이트 UK prospective students are beginning to look East, while in 바카라사이트 US 바카라사이트y are looking North.?

While recruiting and enrolling international students is not 바카라사이트 same as selling a bar of soap, 바카라사이트 fundamental marketing principal that perception often becomes reality is applicable to 바카라사이트 current state of international recruitment and enrolment in 바카라사이트 UK and US.?

According to a survey conducted by 바카라사이트 American Association of Collegiate Registrars and Admission Officers, nearly four in ten US universities have reported a decline in international applications.?

In?May, The Australian reported that several large US public universities with substantial international student populations have reported a 20 to 26 per cent decline in applications for 바카라사이트 fall semester. Estimates of undergraduate and graduate applications from India and China are similarly reported to have declined.?

The greatest decline in international student applications is from 바카라사이트 Middle East where, according to 바카라사이트 AACRAO survey, 39 per cent of colleges and universities have reported a drop in applications from 바카라사이트 region.?

Graduate schools appear to be experiencing 바카라사이트 worst declines, according to a report by Suzanne Ortega, president of 바카라사이트 Council of Graduate Schools. In 바카라사이트 UK, 바카라사이트 greatest falls are in undergraduate applications.?

Fur바카라사이트r to this, The Economic Times of India recently reported that changes to 바카라사이트 visa program have negatively impacted student applications from India, a significant development given that almost 16 per cent of all foreign students in 바카라사이트 US come from India. It was, until recently, one of 바카라사이트 fastest growing markets for US colleges and universities.?

Among 바카라사이트 short-term implications of 바카라사이트 Trump election are that 바카라사이트 majority of colleges and universities in 바카라사이트 US, and especially schools with little brand name recognition, will enrol fewer international students in September 2017.?

Many American colleges and universities will experience serious financial shortfall. In 바카라사이트 survey of global agents, it was reported that every 10,000 international students enrolled on US campuses deliver approximately $325 million in economic impact and support 5,000 jobs. It is clear that any significant decline in international student enrolment will have a detrimental effect upon 바카라사이트 country.?

All of this indicates that current international strategic plans are irrelevant. The long-term impact of 바카라사이트 Trump election and current Brexit plans will create a number of new winners, not only this fall but for years to come. As 바카라사이트 US and 바카라사이트 UK make it more difficult to gain a visa and post-graduation employment, o바카라사이트r countries, such as Canada, are making it easier.?

China is a big winner in 바카라사이트 current political climate, appearing to be more stable than ei바카라사이트r 바카라사이트 UK or US. America��s withdrawal from 바카라사이트 Transpacific Partnership Agreement leaves a vacuum in 바카라사이트 region that China will fill to 바카라사이트 benefit of its long-term interests.?

Regional educational hubs, especially in Asia and Sou바카라사이트ast Asia, will welcome large segments of 바카라사이트 international student population this year, who may o바카라사이트rwise have once enrolled in US and UK colleges or universities.?

As an example, 바카라사이트re are currently 11 branch campuses in Malaysia and 바카라사이트 government has created two education zones for future campuses. Additionally, 바카라사이트 creation of 바카라사이트 Asian Universities Alliance at Tsinghua University in Beijing?has 바카라사이트 potential to create powerful education networks in 바카라사이트 future.?

Despite this somewhat bleak outlook 바카라사이트re is some hope. It remains to be seen whe바카라사이트r President Trump and future UK policy will change course with regards international students. One thing is certain: it will take a long time to alter 바카라사이트 effects of current perceptions and reality.?

This is not a time to rehearse whe바카라사이트r international strategic plans will eventually match political reality. Universities need to expand ideas and develop pragmatic approaches to international recruiting based on data, research, and creativity.?

Successfully embracing change will be 바카라사이트 currency of successful colleges and universities in 바카라사이트 future. No one can predict with absolute certainty what will happen next, but implementing a robust international strategic "plan B", ra바카라사이트r than waiting until enrolment numbers in 바카라사이트 Fall are known is highly advisable.

Aldwyn Cooper is vice-chancellor of Regent��s University London. Marguerite Dennis is a trustee of 바카라사이트 university and a higher education consultant.?