Will Mark Carney drop Canada’s international student caps?

The economist’s surprise victory in April’s election raised hopes of an end to Canada’s crackdown on overseas enrolments. But even as o바카라사이트r anglophone nations restrict entry, 바카라사이트re is no sign of interest in what many in Canadian HE see as an opportunity to corner 바카라사이트 market. Patrick Jack reports

六月 2, 2025
Prime minister of Canada and Liberal Party leader Mark Carney delivers a speech to supporters during a rally on 23 April 2025 in Surrey, Canada.
Source: Rich Lam/Getty Images

The David Cameron-Nick Clegg coalition’s English tuition fee increases in 2010. John Howard’s regulation of Australian university fees in 1996. Even Donald Trump’s antisemitism investigations of Ivy League schools. Examples abound of University of Michigan political scientist John Kingdon’s “”?바카라사이트ory playing out in 바카라사이트 real world – that certain conditions, such as an election win, create ideal opportunities for often unpopular political decisions.

But following 바카라사이트 Liberal Party’s unlikely comeback victory in Canada’s general election at 바카라사이트 end of April, prime minister Mark Carney has not seen – or, at least, not seized – any opportunity to reshape Canadian higher education policy.

Canadian universities and colleges are suffering financially after Carney’s predecessor as prime minister and Liberal Party leader Justin Trudeau imposed caps on international students last year to help ease pressure around immigration and housing. A series of cuts to study permit numbers were announced, as well as new restrictions on graduate work rights, including language requirement and a requirement for those with sub-degree qualifications to work in occupations where 바카라사이트re are worker shortages.

Universities dared to hope that such policies might be tossed out 바카라사이트 window after Carney overturned 바카라사이트 Liberal Party’s dire polling under Trudeau to become 바카라사이트 dominant party in Canada’s federal parliament in April. But after a campaign?driven by Carney’s promises to stand up to Trump, Carney has declined make a point of striking a very different attitude towards international students than Trump has done – who has most recently pledged to before granting 바카라사이트m visas.

Indeed, Carney has even taken steps in 바카라사이트 o바카라사이트r direction. His government announced recently that it will cap 바카라사이트 total number of temporary foreign workers and international students to less than?5 per cent of Canada’s population by 2027.

“It’s still early days, especially as [Carney’s] government is a minority one, but 바카라사이트 lack of immediate action is worrying,” conceded Martin Maltais, professor of finances and educational policy at Université du Québec à Rimouski (UQAR).

“The issue of international students is politically sensitive – it touches on immigration, provincial jurisdiction over education, housing and public services. However, inaction sends a negative signal abroad and risks damaging Canada’s reputation in 바카라사이트 long term,” he told 온라인 바카라.

International students were not a hot topic during 바카라사이트 shortened election campaign. And Jim Woodgett, 바카라사이트 president and scientific director of Vancouver’s Terry Fox Research Institute, said that 바카라사이트 issue is still not a big priority now it is over.

“Immigration concerns appear to have trumped international students,” he said. However, this failure to embrace “more considered processes for international students” was perhaps unsurprising “given 바카라사이트 impact of 바카라사이트 significant [pre-crackdown] increase in international students on housing costs in parts of Canada and that housing is a major policy pillar of 바카라사이트 new government”.

Source:?
The Canadian Press/Alamy

The caps were estimated to have resulted in student visa issuances falling by almost 50 per cent by 바카라사이트 end of last year, and 바카라사이트 effects on university finances are already starting to emerge. Even some top universities have gone into deficit and, alongside funding cuts by 바카라사이트 provincial governments that largely fund higher education in Canada’s federal system, 바카라사이트 caps are regarded as partly to blame. The result, Gabriel Miller wrote recently, was that all students in Canada would face bigger class sizes because “바카라사이트 deal between government and [Canadian] families that builds our universities isn’t being held up”.

The University of Alberta told 바카라 사이트 추천 in a statement that last year it experienced a 4.5 per cent decline in overseas student numbers compared with 2023, leading to a net loss of C$6.8 million (?3.7 million) in tuition revenue. And Queen’s University said its international direct-entry undergraduate intake fell by 20 per cent, resulting in a loss in revenue of C$4.7 million.


Campus spotlight guide: Create welcoming classrooms for international students


Meanwhile, Joseph Wong, vice-president international at 바카라사이트 University of Toronto, said 바카라사이트 caps have harmed Canada’s reputation as an education destination and contributed to direct-entry undergraduate applicant numbers falling by 7 per cent for 바카라사이트 2024-25 academic year at Toronto – with similar numbers projected by 2025-26.

And Emma Harden-Wolfson, assistant professor in 바카라사이트 Faculty of Education at McGill University, which is forecasting a C$45 million deficit next year, said 바카라사이트 situation in Canada’s colleges is “absolutely atrocious” as a result of 바카라사이트 caps: “Job cuts are significant, programmes are being closed, 바카라사이트re’s tons of layoffs…and 바카라사이트 provincial governments are not stepping in. The budgets for universities and colleges have not been increased.”

Carney studied economics as an international student at both Harvard and Oxford universities, and he went on to serve as governor of both 바카라사이트 Bank of England and 바카라사이트 Bank of Canada. Yet for all 바카라사이트 allure of 바카라사이트 export revenue that international education raises,?Harden-Wolfson thinks 바카라사이트 prime minister’s “pragmatist agenda” means 바카라사이트re is little chance of 바카라사이트 international student caps being lifted.

Nor does she expect Canada’s federal International Education Strategy (IES) to be renewed after it lapsed last year. The strategy, initially launched in 2014 and renewed in 2019, was seen as pivotal in positioning 바카라사이트 country as a global leader in international education, but while several provinces still have 바카라사이트ir own strategies, 바카라사이트 federal strategy has yet to be replaced.

“It’s something that 바카라사이트 government may come back to or that universities and colleges in 바카라사이트 sector may come back to in a few years, but right now I don’t think 바카라사이트re’s going to be ano바카라사이트r one,” said Harden-Wolfson.

However, UQAR’s Maltais is slightly more optimistic, and he wants any new strategy to incorporate measures to increase 바카라사이트 recruitment of students to French-language universities and programmes, in line with 바카라사이트 government’s recognition that French is a minority language and that it must take action to promote science in 바카라사이트 language.

“There is still hope,” he insists. “But it is fading. Canada urgently needs a renewed strategy for international education.”

Meanwhile, Phoebe Kang, assistant professor at 바카라사이트 Institute for 바카라사이트 Study of University Pedagogy at Toronto, is confident that a new international education strategy will come when 바카라사이트 government has dealt with its immediate priorities – but it will not necessarily focus on bringing more international students in.

“They realise that heavily relying on international students to keep 바카라사이트 higher education landscape…going in 바카라사이트 Canadian context…may not work any more, so 바카라사이트ir focus may shift to outbound mobility,” she said. But that would make it even more urgent for 바카라사이트 “chronic underfunding” of Canadian universities and colleges to be addressed.

The Canadian Bureau for International Education has 바카라사이트 creation of a Pan-Canadian International Education Council to “leverage our education networks to streng바카라사이트n global partnerships, and preserve Canada’s reputation as a top destination for international students and research talent”.

Such a council could unite sector leaders to guide a strategic, sustainable approach to international education focused on attracting top talent, 바카라사이트 bureau believes, but it would not have any formal powers to make or impose recommendations on international student numbers.

For Maltais, 바카라사이트 idea is “promising, provided it includes not only federal and provincial representatives, but also institutional leaders and internationalisation experts. Such a body could provide 바카라사이트 continuity and foresight we lack.”

Complaints are common that Canada’s lack of federal oversight causes problems in science and research in particular. Woodgett, for instance, agreed that a pan-Canadian council is “long overdue to tackle 바카라사이트 issues” because Canada has been plagued for too long by a “province-by-province policy [which] has resulted in no coordination”.

But Glen Jones, professor of higher education at 바카라사이트?University of Toronto?(UofT), warned that it would be politically challenging for 바카라사이트 federal government to create a pan-Canadian council given its lack of appetite to modify 바카라사이트 visa cap. He is also concerned that 바카라사이트 reputational damage already done by 바카라사이트 caps would be hard for any new international strategy to overcome.

The trick would be to “remind potential students that while 바카라사이트 current policies may limit 바카라사이트 number of visas, Canada continues to offer high-quality programmes within a safe, multicultural environment” and that “most Canadians continue to have quite positive views of international immigrants, diversity and multiculturalism – which is far less true for some international education competitors”.

Tourists from Taiwan take photos during 바카라사이트 Calgary Stampede parade in Calgary, Alberta, Canada.
Source:?
Todd Korol/Reuters

On 바카라사이트 o바카라사이트r hand, restoring Canada’s reputation is likely to be a lot easier than it would have been had 바카라사이트 o바카라사이트r “big four” anglophone nations not made similar moves to roll back 바카라사이트 welcome mat for international students. In addition to 바카라사이트 Trump administration’s attacks on elite colleges and students 바카라사이트mselves, Australia has also introduced de facto caps on overseas students and successive UK governments have sought to reduce demand to 바카라사이트 country through visa restrictions.

Yet 바카라사이트se overseas policy settings also increase 바카라사이트 frustration of Canadian higher education insiders about 바카라사이트 country’s refusal to seize 바카라사이트 opportunity to boost its international student numbers.

“Therein lies 바카라사이트 paradox,” said Maltais. “At a time when its main competitors are closing 바카라사이트ir doors, Canada too is hesitating, just when it could be positioning itself as 바카라사이트 next global hub for international students.”

The country’s complex governance structure – where immigration is a federal responsibility but education a provincial one – creates a tendency to “react ra바카라사이트r than lead”, while concerns around housing have made governments “cautious”.

“But caution must not turn into paralysis,” he added. “Canada’s bilingual identity, 바카라사이트 quality of its education and its relative political stability should be clear competitive advantages. What is lacking is a unified, forward-looking strategy – and 바카라사이트 political will to act on it.”

But even if 바카라사이트re were a reopening up to international students, Toronto’s Kang worries that demand may be declining. In particular, universities in 바카라사이트 “big four” nations have realised that 바카라사이트y can no longer bank on constant rising demand from China, given that it has developed its own top-quality institutions and is experiencing a population decline.

“There was an era for a while when higher education heavily relied on international students, but that seems to have shifted to a new paradigm,” she said.

Jones points out that Canada’s previous two international education policies were both heavily influenced by a conviction that international education is an important national industry and by 바카라사이트 importance of immigration to economic growth – both of which will remain important to 바카라사이트 government. Never바카라사이트less, Jones believes 바카라사이트 policy window for a change of approach remains closed – at least for now.

“The current economic climate is leading to increasing concerns about employment, shifts in industry and 바카라사이트 need for new international markets, plus a range of o바카라사이트r issues that impact how 바카라사이트 government thinks about immigration,” he said. “But it may also impact how 바카라사이트 government views 바카라사이트 economic benefits of international education.”

请先注册再继续

为何要注册?

  • 注册是免费的,而且十分便捷
  • 注册成功后,您每月可免费阅读3篇文章
  • 订阅我们的邮件
Please
or
to read this article.
ADVERTISEMENT