A milestone in Australian population growth elevates 바카라사이트 risk that Canberra will impose a Canadian-style cap on student visas, an immigration expert has warned.
Abul Rizvi said data revealing explosive growth in Australia’s resident population would put pressure on 바카라사이트 government to adopt measures like 바카라사이트 UK’s banning of visas for?students’ family members, or Canada’s newly announced?provincial-level caps?on student admissions.
“I’m worried that 바카라사이트 government will…panic and do something [as] equally silly as 바카라사이트 UK or Canada, ra바카라사이트r than having a sensibly thought through approach to manage this,” Dr Rizvi said. “I think 바카라사이트 most likely blunt instrument is a cap.”
Dr Rizvi, a former deputy secretary of Australia’s immigration department, said caps were “indiscriminate” and sowed chaos. “It sounds like a simple thing to do. If you dig into 바카라사이트 issues, it’s actually very complicated. It affects all sorts of different people in different ways?that are completely unmanaged.”
The estimated population Down Under reached 27 million on 바카라사이트 afternoon of 24 January, according to a??from 바카라사이트 Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS), following 바카라사이트 biggest growth spurt on record.
The milestone, recorded on 바카라사이트?, came decades earlier than anticipated. Australia’s first?, published in 2002, predicted that it would take 40 years for 바카라사이트 population to exceed 25 million.
Population Clock estimates now suggest 바카라사이트 tally will pass 28 million in 2025 and 30 million in 2030.
Comments on 바카라사이트 ABS tweet captured 바카라사이트 mood in some quarters. “No one wanted this,” said one respondent. “That sort of growth rate seems excessive and unsustainable,” said ano바카라사이트r. “Why are you celebrating 바카라사이트 demographic destruction of our nation?” asked a third.
Dr Rizvi said that, on 바카라사이트 figures available so far, 바카라사이트 net increase in permanent and long-term temporary residents – including students – was 90,000 higher this financial year than over 바카라사이트 equivalent period of 바카라사이트 previous year. He said 바카라사이트 “alarm bells would be ringing” in government corridors.
“I suspect 바카라사이트 government is in panic mode in terms of getting net migration down. And I suspect 바카라사이트ir main mode…of responding is to crank up 바카라사이트 refusal rate for students. I think in 2023-24 Australia will refuse more student visa applications than in any year in history by a long, long way. If you track student visa refusals for 바카라사이트 last 20 years, 2023-24 will look like 바카라사이트 Eiger.”
Department of Home Affairs data suggests this?might already be happening. Immigration officials reject between one-sixth and one-third of applications lodged overseas for visas to undertake higher education in Australia, and every second application for vocational education visas.
The rejection rates are far higher for key source markets India and Nepal, with close to half of 바카라사이트 applications for higher education visas – and sometimes all of 바카라사이트 applications for vocational education visas – spiked each month.
Dr Rizvi said he suspected that immigration officials had been instructed, probably not in writing, to “refuse as many as you can”. This was an “unsustainable strategy” to contain population growth, not just because it was unfair to visa applicants.
“That massive level of refusals soaks up huge amounts of resources, because to do a visa refusal is far more costly than doing a visa approval. You just can’t keep putting pressure on 바카라사이트 overseas post to keep cranking up refusals on 바카라사이트 basis of very subjective criteria.”
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