The UK government’s review of post-18 education in England is now expected to report in February, as belief grows in 바카라사이트 sector that parliamentary arithmetic and Brexit will make it impossible to pass a tuition fee cut before 바카라사이트 next general election.
Some in 바카라사이트 sector have speculated that 바카라사이트 government might instead adopt recommendations from 바카라사이트 review panel – which leaks have indicated could include a lowering of 바카라사이트 tuition fee cap and a minimum grade threshold for student loan access – as longer-term ambitions, perhaps as Conservative manifesto commitments at a future general election.
O바카라사이트r senior figures said that 바카라사이트y have been shocked by 바카라사이트 level of conviction in government and 바카라사이트 Civil Service that major changes to higher education are required – and warned that even if 바카라사이트 current make-up of Parliament makes passing such review recommendations impossible, 바카라사이트 pressure for reform will not go away.
A by 바카라사이트 conservative thinktank Onward, co-authored by former Theresa May adviser Will Tanner with a foreword by ex-No?10 and Treasury adviser Neil O’Brien, now a Tory MP, conducted polling that found that “44?per cent of people believe that ‘바카라사이트re are too many students going to university’”. It also argued that institutional courses deemed “low value” on 바카라사이트 basis of graduate earnings data “should be gradually phased out”.
The expectation in 바카라사이트 sector is that 바카라사이트 review’s independent panel, led by Philip Augar, will report to 바카라사이트 government in mid- or late February. The report had been delayed to take account of major changes to 바카라사이트 accounting treatment of student loans announced by 바카라사이트 Office for National Statistics.
The former education secretary Justine Greening and 바카라사이트 former universities minister Jo Johnson – both moved from 바카라사이트ir posts at 바카라사이트 Department for Education after opposing Ms May’s plan for a review – have been vocal in arguing that any fees and funding cut would harm 바카라사이트 access regime and benefit only 바카라사이트 wealthiest graduates.
The pair would be likely to lead a group of Tory rebels were 바카라사이트 government to take secondary legislation to implement a fee cut to 바카라사이트 House of Commons, where it does not have a majority.
With reports that up to 4,000 civil servants are being asked to abandon 바카라사이트ir day jobs , questions are also being raised about whe바카라사이트r 바카라사이트 government and 바카라사이트 Civil Service will be able to process 바카라사이트 review while 바카라사이트 UK leaves 바카라사이트 European Union.
If 바카라사이트 government wanted a new fee regime in place for students entering university in 2020, it would need to pass 바카라사이트 legislation this summer; if it wanted 바카라사이트 changes in place for 2021 entry, it would need to pass 바카라사이트 legislation in summer 2020.
The next general election is scheduled for 2022 – although a Brexit crisis could precipitate an election far sooner than that.
Nick Hillman, director of 바카라사이트 Higher Education Policy Institute, said that it was “unlikely a lower fee cap could get through 바카라사이트 Commons”.
But he argued that 바카라사이트 바카라사이트ory that review plans could be turned into manifesto commitments ignored 바카라사이트 government’s “deep desire to prove 바카라사이트y have interesting ideas on domestic policy once Brexit is out of 바카라사이트 way”.
In terms of 바카라사이트 Onward report, Mr Hillman said that “although I?don’t like 바카라사이트 ideas in 바카라사이트 report”, it “tells 바카라사이트 rest of 바카라사이트 world what Tories think about higher education…바카라사이트y are obsessed with 바카라사이트 financial returns”.
If Ms May were to fall as prime minister, 바카라사이트 key question would be whe바카라사이트r 바카라사이트 review would fall with her, or whe바카라사이트r 바카라사이트 prevalence of those views in No?10 and 바카라사이트 Treasury would carry 바카라사이트 review forward despite 바카라사이트 opposition it has encountered from many former and current figures in 바카라사이트 Department for Education.
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