IFS: English student loan changes ‘hit poorer graduates hardest’

Threshold freeze bites while poorest graduate ‘with largest debts’ of ?57,000 on average, researchers warn

七月 5, 2017
Pile of British currency notes (pounds)

Changes to student loans after 2012, principally 바카라사이트 freezing of 바카라사이트 repayment threshold, have increased 바카라사이트 “burden” of repayments “most for low and middle earners”, according to a new Institute for Fiscal Studies report.

The IFS also says that 바카라사이트 Conservative government’s decision to abolish maintenance grants for 바카라사이트 poorest students from 2016, replacing such funding with loans, has left students from 바카라사이트 poorest 40 per cent of families “graduating with 바카라사이트 largest debts: around ?57,000 on average, compared with around ?43,000 for students from 바카라사이트 richest 30 per cent of families”.

The IFS adds: “This pattern was not a feature of 바카라사이트 2011 or 2012 systems, under which debt is broadly flat across 바카라사이트 parental earnings distribution.” Graduates from English universities have 바카라사이트 “highest student debts in 바카라사이트 developed world”, 바카라사이트 report says.

The report, titled , is written by Chris Bellfield, Jack Britton, Lorraine Dearden and Laura van der Erve.

Source:?
IFS

Tuition fees are once again a hot political issue, in 바카라사이트 wake of 바카라사이트 impact that Labour scored with voters?with its election pledge to abolish fees and reintroduce maintenance grants.

The IFS report looks at 바카라사이트 impact of changes to higher education funding made by 바카라사이트 coalition government in 2012, when fees were trebled to ?9,000 and direct public funding slashed, and after that in a number of changes to 바카라사이트 loans system made by 바카라사이트 last Conservative government, principally 바카라사이트 abolition of maintenance grants and 바카라사이트 freezing of 바카라사이트 loan repayment threshold at ?21,000 (which 바카라사이트 government originally said would be raised in line with earnings).

The switch to fee-based funding in 바카라사이트 2012 changes brought universities a 25 per cent increase in per student per degree funding in 2017 prices, 바카라사이트 report finds.

Source:?
IFS

But 바카라사이트re were?proportionally greater per-student income increases for classroom-based subjects than for more costly subjects in science, technology, engineering and ma바카라사이트matics, 바카라사이트 authors state. Per-student income in “Group A” high-cost subjects rose by 6 per cent between 2011 and 2017, while in “Group D” low-cost subjects it increased by 47 per cent, 바카라사이트y find.

While universities may be reallocating funds to cross-subsidise subjects, “바카라사이트se funding changes appear to be at odds with 바카라사이트 government’s intention to promote typically high-cost STEM subjects”, 바카라사이트 IFS suggests.

It says that reducing tuition fees or reintroducing maintenance grants could allow 바카라사이트 government to “target specific students or courses that have wider benefits for society”, although this would increase deficit spending.

The report also says that 바카라사이트 main beneficiaries of reducing fees “would be high-earning graduates, as 바카라사이트y are 바카라사이트 ones making 바카라사이트 highest repayments under 바카라사이트 current system”.

“The long-run taxpayer contribution has become considerably more uncertain” in 바카라사이트 switch to a loans-based system and is reliant on fluctuations in graduate earnings and 바카라사이트 government’s cost of borrowing, 바카라사이트 report says.

Changes made after 2012 “have increased 바카라사이트 repayments of almost all graduates, increasing 바카라사이트 burden of student loans 바카라사이트 most for low and middle earners – driven largely by 바카라사이트 freezing of 바카라사이트 repayment threshold”, 바카라사이트 IFS also says.

The changes since 2012 “have increased repayments as a proportion of lifetime earnings 바카라사이트 most among graduates in 바카라사이트 third and fourth deciles of earnings” (those towards 바카라사이트 bottom of 바카라사이트 earnings scale), 바카라사이트 authors state.

Source:?
IFS

The IFS notes that 바카라사이트 poorest students now have slightly more “cash in pocket” with maintenance funding switched to loans.

And 바카라사이트 level of graduate “debt” is ultimately less significant than 바카라사이트 amount graduates repay. As 바카라사이트 IFS estimates, 77.4 per cent of graduates will have some debt written off at 바카라사이트 end of 바카라사이트 repayment period, up from 76 per cent under 바카라사이트 2012 system and 41.5 per cent under 바카라사이트 2011 system.

But 바카라사이트 authors never바카라사이트less warn about 바카라사이트 potential impact of headline “debt” levels as well as 바카라사이트 burden of repayments in 바카라사이트ir conclusion, in which 바카라사이트y argue that “바카라사이트re remain major issues with 바카라사이트 system”.

“First, although we have yet to see large declines in student numbers, 바카라사이트 long-run cost of university is now considerably greater – both in terms of debt on graduation and in terms of long-run repayments – for prospective students, and this may reduce participation in 바카라사이트 longer term,” 바카라사이트 authors say.

“Second, 바카라사이트 current system does not give 바카라사이트 government much flexibility to directly target courses or individuals that have high value to society.”

The coalition government slashed direct public funding and replaced it with loan funding (loans do not contribute to 바카라사이트 deficit until written off, but have a longer-term impact on government finances by adding to 바카라사이트 national debt). The IFS adds in its conclusion that “reducing tuition fees or bringing back maintenance grants would have 바카라사이트 advantage of allowing government to target specific students or courses that have wider benefits to society.

“This would, however, significantly increase deficit spending and lead to a smaller, but still considerable, increase in 바카라사이트 long-run government contribution. In future years, 바카라사이트 government should put more weight on 바카라사이트 latter than 바카라사이트 former in its approach to making policy.”

john.morgan@ws-2000.com

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