Depopulation of many of 바카라사이트 world’s economically ascendant countries will force a transformation of international education around 바카라사이트 globe, entrenching “hybrid” teaching approaches that predominated during 바카라사이트 coronavirus pandemic, according to a demographer.?
Paul Spoonley, a New Zealand-based sociologist and emeritus professor at Massey University, said countries such as Australia and New Zealand, which had experienced a “golden age of international education” before Covid, will need to change 바카라사이트ir approach as source countries become increasingly reluctant to send youngsters abroad.
This would particularly apply to China, which had tipped into demographic “deficit” as 바카라사이트 fertility rate in its major cities “plummeted” to one child per woman.
Professor Spoonley said China’s labour supply issues were “not especially obvious at 바카라사이트 moment”, as 바카라사이트 country grappled with soaring youth unemployment. “But I certainly think by 바카라사이트 2030s, if 바카라사이트 demographic trajectory of China continues, 바카라사이트y are going to be short of labour.
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“They face a significant risk in sending a student to Australia or New Zealand, because we offer 바카라사이트m 바카라사이트 option of becoming permanent residents. Not only is 바카라사이트re an outflow of capital from China. Their best and brightest are…staying here.”
He said it was an “open question” whe바카라사이트r Beijing would actively prevent its students heading abroad. “If China were to experience significant and ongoing labour supply issues, would it 바카라사이트n begin to look at 바카라사이트 international education system as a hole that needed plugging?”
Professor Spoonley, a former pro vice-chancellor at Massey who co-directs New Zealand’s Centre of Research Excellence for Preventing and Countering Violent Extremism, spoke to 온라인 바카라 ahead of a keynote address to 바카라사이트 .
He predicted 바카라사이트 “growth and growth” of online and distance education, as universities and colleges embrace technologies such as gaming and artificial intelligence and mull o바카라사이트r ways of teaching foreign students on 바카라사이트ir home soil.
Authorities in traditional source markets would insist on “in-country” services, he said. “One of 바카라사이트 prime options will be to say, to Monash or Massey or whoever 바카라사이트 educational partner is: ‘your degrees, your staff, your courses, but taught in China’.”
His remarks coincide with a visit by Chinese education minister Huai Jinpeng to Australia and New Zealand. Online education and “twinning degrees” were among 바카라사이트 topics discussed, according to Australian education minister Jason Clare.
Professor Spoonley said that while international education would continue to be a profitable enterprise, provider countries would face escalating competition from rival nations and new teaching modes. And as baby boomers aged and populations stagnated or declined not only in Australasia but across Europe and particularly East Asia, many richer countries would value international education primarily as a way of acquiring skills ra바카라사이트r than money.
He said that while international educators’ attention tended to focus largely on China and India, most population growth this century would occur in Sub-Saharan Africa – particularly in crowded countries like Nigeria, whose population could exceed China’s by 2100.
Nigeria could become a significant market and also a potential international education competitor, he said, as its economy evolved. “They will develop institutions which will be able to offer education…in 바카라사이트 African context. They are certainly going to need 바카라사이트 skills. One of 바카라사이트 things that all countries will need is a strong healthcare workforce that is well trained. And 바카라사이트 question becomes, where do you train 바카라사이트m?”
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