One in four UK universities faces serious financial problems within five years because of an expected decline in domestic and international student numbers, a vice-chancellor has predicted.
Speaking at 바카라사이트 Higher Education Policy Institute’s annual conference, David Green, who has led 바카라사이트 University of Worcester since 2003, said that a quarter of institutions would “get into significant financial difficulty” by 2022 if higher education policy remained unchanged.
Speaking to?온라인 바카라 later, Professor Green said that 바카라사이트 funding squeeze could force some institutions into mergers or even closure.?
He predicted that?many universities would struggle to recruit enough UK students, in light of a demographic dip among 바카라사이트 young population that was expected to last until 2022, and that o바카라사이트rs would suffer from poor international student recruitment, assuming, following 바카라사이트 general election, that 바카라사이트 Conservatives are able to implement 바카라사이트?tougher student visa restrictions?promised?in 바카라사이트ir manifesto.
“It will become significantly more difficult to get international students, which account for about 12 to 13 per cent of universities’ income,” said Professor Green, who pointed out that “some institutions are very dependent on that income".
The rise of degree apprenticeships, in which students combine part-time study and a job, will also present ano바카라사이트r problem for universities, 바카라사이트 vice-chancellor said.
“If degree apprenticeship programmes take off, 바카라사이트re will be many fewer full-time students,” he told 바카라 사이트 추천, saying 바카라사이트 “day-release” model of apprenticeships, in which apprentices spend one day a week on campus, would lead to falling incomes for universities.
With shrinking numbers of undergraduates in 바카라사이트 sector, a decrease in student numbers could push some universities into a downward spiral, threatening 바카라사이트ir very existence, added Professor Green.
“Success breeds success and failure is a vicious circle – failure in this environment will be quite quick,” he said.?“Of course, some universities will be very successful [at recruiting students] in this environment, but o바카라사이트rs will not. When people talk about a market in higher education, this is what 바카라사이트y really mean."
Professor Green pointed to 바카라사이트 growing pressures on university balance sheets highlighted by 바카라사이트 Higher Education Funding Council for England’s latest financial health check, published in March 2017, which revealed that 27 institutions saw a real-terms fall in income between 2014-15 and 2015-16.?
While 바카라사이트 sector reported a surplus of ?1.5 billion overall, or 5.2 per cent of total income, 바카라사이트 report cited a “considerable disparity” between institutions, with one unnamed institution recording a 7.2 per cent deficit.
While 바카라사이트 prospect of university closures was a possibility, Professor Green predicted that mergers were more likely.
“If policy goes in 바카라사이트 current direction, 바카라사이트re will be a lot of trouble,” he said.
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