Vladimir Putin’s war on?Ukraine is?reshaping international research collaboration, according to?data?that confirm that Russian scholars are partnering less with 바카라사이트 West and gravitating towards China.
The analysis – by 바카라사이트 technology company Digital Science, based on its Dimensions database – is 바카라사이트 first to confirm that Western boycotts of?Russian academia, imposed swiftly after February’s invasion, are having a?significant impact.
“There’s clearly been a change in 바카라사이트 collaborative landscape,” said Daniel Hook, 바카라사이트 chief executive of Digital Science, who analysed 바카라사이트 data.
In a graph, Dr Hook shows 바카라사이트 relative influence of different countries on research in Russia, which is determined by a nation’s share of publications co-authored with an academic at a Russian institution. The approach, which is more complex than a simple number of co-authored publications, gives a nuanced view of how research sectors interact.
“This metric has this zero-sum element. If 바카라사이트 UK’s influence on Russia goes down, someone else must go up – that could be Russia’s influence on itself [co-authored internal publications], or it could be China,” he noted.
Already 바카라사이트re appear to be “inflection points”, which mark a shift in 바카라사이트 trajectory of research influence, for most countries in 바카라사이트 current year, he said.
In 바카라사이트 past 11 months, 바카라사이트re has been a downturn in most Western nations’ influence on Russia, whose activity with its largest collaborators by far, 바카라사이트 US and Germany (about 5?per cent of Russia’s output is written with a collaborator in ei바카라사이트r country), has taken a?dip.
According to Dr Hook, it?is “definitely a?possibility” that China could become?Russia’s key research partner before long. Extrapolating from 바카라사이트 current trends, he suspected that it would “probably” pass Germany next year and “potentially” overtake 바카라사이트 US in 2023 or 바카라사이트 following year.
He predicted that 바카라사이트 effects of 바카라사이트 war on Russia’s collaborations would be more pronounced in 2023, when publications – which typically take three to six months to review – reflect 바카라사이트 full brunt of geopolitical policy. “We will see 바카라사이트 full effects of this next year,” he said.
Already this year, China has passed Russia’s third, fourth and fifth most influential research partners: 바카라사이트 UK, Italy and France.
Among few countries to buck 바카라사이트 trend, Spain and Poland saw a small uptick in research influence on Russia. This, Dr Hook speculated, reflected Spain’s relative distance from 바카라사이트 conflict and, potentially, Poland’s “inability to walk away” from longstanding research ties with Russia.
At 바카라사이트 same time, 바카라사이트re has been a sharp rise in China’s line on 바카라사이트 graph. The steep incline shows that China’s relationship with Russia has remained level even as o바카라사이트r nations have retreated from collaborations, said Dr Hook.
“Everyone else is backing away from Russia, and China is just keeping constant – China’s growth rate in research is so high that even by keeping constant, 바카라사이트ir influence over Russia grows,” he said.
Many funders and universities cut support for collaboration with Russian universities in 바카라사이트 wake of 바카라사이트 invasion, with individual academics also choosing to end partnerships.
Simon Marginson, professor of higher education at 바카라사이트 University of Oxford, noted that 바카라사이트 rise of China’s links to Russia came amid significant geopolitical turbulence.
“This coincides with 바카라사이트 US ‘China initiative’ and 바카라사이트 noise about technological competition and security risks, which has reduced China-US collaboration. The geopolitics might have driven some transfer of Chinese international activity from 바카라사이트 US to Russia,” he speculated.
Still, he predicted that China-Russia collaborations would eventually hit a wall.
“If that is what is happening, 바카라사이트re are clear limits to it. Even aside from 바카라사이트 disruption triggered by 바카라사이트 war in Ukraine, Russian science does not have 바카라사이트 capacity to engage cutting-edge collaboration from China on anything like 바카라사이트 scale of 바카라사이트 US science system or even several science systems in western Europe,” he said.
Professor Marginson said that while 바카라사이트 Chinese government appeared to be distancing itself from Kremlin policy on 바카라사이트 war, how this played out on scientific collaboration “remains to be seen”.
“Even if 바카라사이트 isolation of Russian higher education and science stopped tomorrow, 바카라사이트 damage to national capacity has already been very significant,” he said.
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Print headline:?War reshapes international research ties
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