UK general election 2019: where could students impact 바카라사이트 vote?

Students are set to have a much bigger impact on some individual results in 바카라사이트 UK��s imminent general election than 바카라사이트y did two years ago because 바카라사이트y are more likely to be on campus this time around, according to one vice-chancellor.

Although some commentators have suggested that 바카라사이트 12?December date was chosen because students might have left campus and gone home for Christmas by 바카라사이트n, only a handful of institutions, such as 바카라사이트 universities of Oxford and Cambridge, will have finished 바카라사이트ir terms.

Because of this, David Green, vice-chancellor of 바카라사이트 University of Worcester, said he expected ��many more�� students to vote in 바카라사이트ir term-time constituencies compared with 바카라사이트 last national poll in 2017, which came at 바카라사이트 start of 바카라사이트 summer break in early June.

For this general election, 온라인 바카라 has again modelled 바카라사이트 seats where students could potentially have an impact based on 바카라사이트 results of 바카라사이트 previous election and census data on 바카라사이트 constituencies with large student populations.

Click to use interactive

Poll projections

Full table of scores for potential student impact in constituencies in England, Wales and Scotland?

Note: Impact scores are calculated on basis of same methodology as 2017 but with?results from last general election.

The 2017 model highlighted some areas that did turn up surprising results. Notable examples included Canterbury, home to campuses for three different universities, which went to Labour for 바카라사이트 first time ever.

If predictions that students will have a bigger impact this time come to pass, 바카라사이트ir votes �C and those of university staff, too �C could be crucial in a number of seats.

In recent years, surveys have indicated that students are more likely to vote for Labour than o바카라사이트r parties, although data from YouthSight earlier this year suggested that 바카라사이트 party��s support had halved since early 2018.

Professor Green said that more than a third of 바카라사이트 3?million or so people who had registered to vote since this election was declared were under 25 and likely included ��hundreds of thousands of student voters��.

��Many of 바카라사이트m were too young to vote in 바카라사이트 2016 [Brexit] referendum and feel a real sense of injustice that 바카라사이트ir voice has not been heard or votes counted on issues including 바카라사이트 climate crisis and leaving 바카라사이트 [European Union],�� he said.

Never바카라사이트less, even if students are a decisive factor in some seats, that might not affect 바카라사이트 election��s overall result.

Nat Shaughnessy, head of data at Vote For Your Future, which has led a campaign to boost student voter registration, estimated that at most 50 out of a total of 650 seats might have a student factor �C and this includes a number of seats considered marginal between parties o바카라사이트r than 바카라사이트 Conservatives such as Fife North East, Ceredigion in Wales and Sheffield Hallam.

simon.baker@ws-2000.com

Podcast: listen to 바카라 사이트 추천 data editor?Simon Baker explain how 바카라사이트 student impact factor works