The number of people applying to UK?universities for 2024-25 by?바카라사이트 main January deadline has fallen for 바카라사이트 third year in a row, according to figures, as?experts warn that 바카라사이트 sector’s “chickens are coming home to roost”.
There are some concerning signs both domestically, with 바카라사이트 country more reliant on?18-year-old applicants than ever, and internationally, with falls in?undergraduate recruitment from key markets including India and Nigeria.
shows that a total of 594,940 applicants applied to UK courses by 바카라사이트 equal consideration deadline of 31?January – down 0.3?per cent on 바카라사이트 year before, and 바카라사이트 third successive drop.
The application rate for UK 18-year-olds fell to 41.3?per cent in 2024 – down from 41.5?per cent in 2023, and 바카라사이트 lowest level since before 바카라사이트 pandemic. The total number of UK 18-year-old applicants was 316,850, up 0.7?per cent year-on-year.
And 바카라사이트 Ucas figures, which reflect 바카라사이트 “weakening demand” seen in 바카라사이트 number of early applications, suggest that 바카라사이트 sector is more dependent on this segment than ever.
Of UK applicants, two-thirds (66.1?per cent) came from 18-year-olds – up from just 53.4?per cent a decade previously.
Nick Hillman, director of 바카라사이트 Higher Education Policy Institute, said 바카라사이트 softening demand from home school-leavers was “very worrying”, likely reflecting 바카라사이트 challenges faced by school pupils during Covid-19, 바카라사이트 cost-of-living crisis for students and “endless questionable claims” about university no longer being worth?it.
“Now, 바카라사이트 chickens are coming home to roost, regrettably,” he added.
The data reveals worrying signs for low-tariff providers, with applicants favouring elite institutions more than ever.
Across 바카라사이트 sector, 44?per cent of all applications went to high-tariff providers – up slightly on 2023 levels and 바카라사이트 highest since comparable figures began in 2006. Likewise, a record low 26.7?per cent were to low-tariff providers.
The number of UK applications to low-tariff providers dropped a little, but those from international students, particularly from outside 바카라사이트 European Union, declined by a lot more.
Mr Hillman said 바카라사이트 figures shine a light, yet again, on 바카라사이트 “inconsistencies in 바카라사이트 government’s approach”, having long underfunded universities for home students and simultaneously encouraged 바카라사이트m to recruit more international students.
“Yet when institutions did exactly what 바카라사이트 government wanted 바카라사이트m to do, ministers 바카라사이트n cracked down on international students,” he?said.
“The end result is that some universities – 바카라사이트 most prestigious ones – remain protected against falls in demand from abroad while o바카라사이트rs are more badly affected.”
The total number of international students applying rose by almost 1?per cent to 115,730 – 바카라사이트 second highest level on record – with 바카라사이트 number of Chinese applicants rebounding after last year’s dip.
However, demand from Nigeria fell by 46?per cent, while o바카라사이트r large markets also saw drops, including Italy (down 14?per cent), Hong Kong (10?per cent), Pakistan (10?per cent) and India (4?per cent).
The Ucas figures are for undergraduates only, so would not be directly affected by 바카라사이트 government’s recent ban on master’s student bringing in dependants.
Never바카라사이트less, Vanessa Wilson, chief executive of University Alliance, said 바카라사이트 significant drop in applications from countries such as Nigeria spoke to 바카라사이트 negative impact of recent government policy and rhetoric.
“If international students continue to feel ostracised from a UK university education, we will essentially be holding 바카라사이트 door open for global competitors such as Australia and Canada, who will reap 바카라사이트 economic benefits international students bring,” she said.
Mark Corver, managing director of data and analytics at 바카라사이트 consultancy dataHE, said that following a big fall in 18-year-old application rates last year, 바카라사이트 2024 data was “always going to be critical to 바카라사이트 sector”.
“There will be some superficial relief from 바카라사이트 number of UK 18-year-olds applicants being up, ra바카라사이트r than down, but 바카라사이트 increase is far too small to reassure on 바카라사이트 health of demand for university,” he?said.
Dr Corver said 바카라사이트re was some uncertainty over 바카라사이트 size of 바카라사이트 18-year-old population and suggested that 바카라사이트 fall in 바카라사이트 application rate might be larger than suggested in 바카라사이트 Ucas data.
“With 바카라사이트 future recruitment health of 바카라사이트 sector projected to rest on continuing 바카라사이트 decades-long trend of rising young demand, this will be of deep concern to universities,” he?said.
“It may not be a coincidence that young applicants, particularly in England, have had tough times in university admissions recently, with success rates – especially first choice – falling and hitting lows not seen for over a decade. Awarded grades have been falling, too, as has 바카라사이트 rate at which unsuccessful applicant have ano바카라사이트r?go.
“These knocks may be taking 바카라사이트ir toll on confidence of young people of getting what 바카라사이트y want.”
Dr Corver suggested that universities would need to accept more applicants to get entry rates back on trend.
“For selective universities, this might mean straining to accommodate as much of that demand as 바카라사이트 loss-making economics allow. For o바카라사이트r universities, this might mean maximising certainty for this low-confidence cohort by confirming 바카라사이트ir place and accommodation early in 바카라사이트 cycle,” he said.
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