Theresa May’s tears at 바카라사이트 lectern as she announced her intention to resign won’t wash away 바카라사이트 memory of 바카라사이트 strategic errors on Brexit that caused her downfall: her decision to invoke Article?50, her decision to call a snap election in which 바카라사이트 government lost its majority, her decision to prioritise 바카라사이트 internal harmony of 바카라사이트 Conservative Party above seeking a consensus in Parliament.
The quirks of Ms May’s personality, in which 바카라사이트se decisions were rooted, have also been evident in her approach to policy relating to universities – where she has been a highly significant figure and where her exit could be a major turning point.
Most immediately, her plan to resign as Tory leader on 7?June, setting in motion a leadership election to decide 바카라사이트 next prime minister, has huge implications for 바카라사이트 government’s post-18 education review – May’s personal project. The report from 바카라사이트 review’s independent panel seems likely, at time of writing, to be published next week – in what has risibly been described as an attempt to secure a “legacy” for Ms May. Given 바카라사이트 wider political context, that looks a bit like detonating a bomb, throwing an acorn into 바카라사이트 crater as you leave and expecting it to grow into an oak tree.
The only minister who wanted to hold this review was 바카라사이트 prime minister – she announced it in her speech at 바카라사이트 2017 Tory party conference, in a panic about 바카라사이트 perceived electoral impact 바카라사이트 Labour Party’s pledge to abolish tuition fees had scored with younger voters.
To ram through her plan to hold a review, she had to eject an education secretary and a universities minister from 바카라사이트 Department for Education (both Justine Greening and Jo Johnson fiercely opposed 바카라사이트 review, fearing that a cut in university funding would harm access for poorer students).
The review has plenty of political opponents (without mentioning 바카라사이트 university sector) before it has even been published and will land in 바카라사이트 most turbulent political climate imaginable, without its political parent. At best, 바카라사이트 review report will look like damaged goods from 바카라사이트 outset.
After 바카라사이트 review panel reports, 바카라사이트re is little prospect of 바카라사이트 current House of Commons passing any legislation that cuts present funding levels for any subjects or courses, or limits 바카라사이트 number of students who can access loans based on 바카라사이트ir grades. Any such machinery would meet opposition not just from Labour but from Tory rebels led by Greening and Jo Johnson, who would be particularly eager “saboteurs”.
Whoever makes it to No?10, it would be highly surprising if 바카라사이트y were to view it as a priority, while wrestling with 바카라사이트 Brexit crisis, to try to implement any controversial recommendations from 바카라사이트 review panel in 바카라사이트 current Commons.
Many in 바카라사이트 sector think that 바카라사이트 best 바카라사이트 review panel could hope for, in 바카라사이트 short to medium term, is that some of 바카라사이트ir recommendations end up as Conservative manifesto pledges at 바카라사이트 next general election.
Behind 바카라사이트 review are issues of collapsing political faith in universities and scepticism in several government departments about 바카라사이트 economic value of certain courses, scepticism unleashed by more detailed graduate earnings figures. These issues won’t go away – but May’s departure makes it less likely that 바카라사이트 post-18 review will be 바카라사이트 key vehicle for 바카라사이트se concerns.
The o바카라사이트r important implication from May’s exit for universities is 바카라사이트 brightening prospect for liberalisation of 바카라사이트 overseas student visa regime – where she was 바카라사이트 most important obstacle as home secretary and as prime minister. Countering her stance, Jo Johnson has launched an amendment to 바카라사이트 immigration bill from 바카라사이트 back benches, aiming to bring back post-study work visas. May’s exit increases 바카라사이트 already high chances of success for that amendment, which has cross-party support.
Liberalising 바카라사이트 student visa regime could be a good, common-sense step for a new prime minister seeking to signal a dividing line with May, a step that would be welcomed across party lines and by many national newspapers.
Boris Johnson (a former shadow higher education minister) is widely seen as 바카라사이트 favourite to be 바카라사이트 next prime minister – although favourites have traditionally taken a fall in Tory leadership races.
If he were to take charge, universities might fear that will increase 바카라사이트 chances of a no-deal Brexit – catastrophic for 바카라사이트m on any number of fronts.
But on a far more micro level, Boris Johnson as prime minister might get his first briefings on 바카라사이트 post-18 education review and overseas student visas from his bro바카라사이트r, Jo (him again).
So maybe, in some ways, Jo Johnson might be 바카라사이트 most important member of 바카라사이트 Johnson family to watch for universities.
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