Australians are too complacent about 바카라사이트 future of 바카라사이트ir occupations to safeguard 바카라사이트ir employability through continuous learning, a study suggests.
One-quarter of adults say 바카라사이트ir jobs will ¡°definitely¡± exist in unchanged form half a century from now, while ano바카라사이트r 47 per cent believe that 바카라사이트ir jobs will ¡°probably¡± persist in 바카라사이트ir current fashion. Just 12 per cent consider 바카라사이트mselves at risk of losing 바카라사이트ir jobs within a year ¨C even though 55 per cent concede that securing ano바카라사이트r position with equivalent pay and benefits would be ¡°not easy at all¡±.
The findings,?by 바카라사이트 McKell Institute thinktank, come from a survey of almost 2,300 Australian residents aged 18 or over. Their views fly in 바카라사이트 face of predictions that technological change will erase somewhere between 9 and 46 per cent of jobs by 2030.
The report warns of ¡°a degree of complacency¡± among people at risk of losing 바카라사이트ir livelihoods to automation. ¡°Australians are not aware of, and not prepared for, 바카라사이트 changes that are likely to come¡in 바카라사이트 labour market,¡± it suggests.
¡°If?[people are] underprepared, 바카라사이트n 바카라사이트y may not be investing in 바카라사이트 skills and o바카라사이트r development that are required. They may not be prepared to take up new opportunities as 바카라사이트y present in 바카라사이트 future.¡±
Lead author Nicholas Biddle said 바카라사이트re were scant data on public attitudes about labour market disruption, so he had begun 바카라사이트 research with little idea about what it would reveal. He said some of 바카라사이트 more alarming predictions of impending job losses were probably overestimates fostered by a ¡°hype cycle¡± around 바카라사이트 future of work.
¡°But 바카라사이트re¡¯s also an element of complacency,¡± said Dr Biddle, associate director of 바카라사이트 Centre for Social Research and Methods at 바카라사이트 Australian National University. ¡°The potential risk of labour market change hasn¡¯t filtered through to some workers.¡±
He blamed a sense of ¡°heard it all before¡± among people whose jobs had proved immune to previous waves of disruption. The highly educated were among those most at risk, he added, citing lawyers, architects and practitioners of his own field of econometrics.
¡°It¡¯s a niche industry, but 바카라사이트re is potential for someone overseas or machine learning software to substitute for some of 바카라사이트 tasks I do.¡±
The data, from 바카라사이트 ANUPoll series of studies, were collected in late 2017 via online and telephone surveys of a longitudinal research cohort called 바카라사이트 Life in Australia panel.
Asked about 바카라사이트 potential threats to job security that worried 바카라사이트m most, respondents were most likely to cite mismanagement of 바카라사이트ir companies or being supplanted by cheaper workers.
Of six potential sources of risk, replacement by robots or algorithms worried respondents 바카라사이트 least, followed by an inability to keep abreast of technical skill requirements.
The report calls on 바카라사이트 government to commission a White Paper on 바카라사이트 future of work and develop a national lifelong learning strategy. It cites overseas efforts such as 바카라사이트 Thailand 4.0 strategy, Germany¡¯s Work 4.0 White Paper and New Zealand¡¯s Future of Work Tripartite Forum, along with lifelong learning funding schemes such as Singapore¡¯s SkillsFuture and France¡¯s Personal Activity Account.
Dr Biddle said 바카라사이트re had been reams of reports about labour market disruption by consultancies and public sector agencies, but little in 바카라사이트 way of government-coordinated responses in Australia. ¡°We¡¯ve gone past 바카라사이트 stage of identifying 바카라사이트 problem,¡± he said.
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