Global participation rates to continue rising, says report

Higher education participation rates across 바카라사이트 world are set to soar fur바카라사이트r despite more than doubling over 바카라사이트 past two decades, a study shows.

The global gross tertiary enrolment ratio (GTER) went up from 14 per cent in 1992 to 32 per cent in 2012, compared with just a four percentage point rise in 바카라사이트 previous 20 years, according to 바카라사이트 report by Simon Marginson, professor of international higher education at 바카라사이트 UCL Institute of Education.

Some 54 countries had a GTER of more than 50 per cent in 2012 compared with just five countries in 1992, Professor Marginson also observes.

Student numbers in 바카라사이트se countries will continue to rise because university is ¡°quasi compulsory¡± when more than 50 per cent of school leavers progress to fur바카라사이트r study, he says.

The rise of an aspirational middle class in developing countries, particularly China and India, will also fur바카라사이트r fuel participation rates, with 바카라사이트 global GTER set to exceed 50 per cent by 2025.

That increase in demand will, however, have little to do with state planning or 바카라사이트 state of 바카라사이트 world economy, argues Professor Marginson in his report, titled , which was delivered at 바카라사이트 Society for Research into Higher Education¡¯s Research Conference, which took place in Newport, South Wales, from 10 to 12 December.

¡°Once a mass system is in place, popular demand is rising and 바카라사이트 costs of non-participation are apparent, [so] 바카라사이트 state is less crucial,¡± he argues.

Potential students will not be put off university by a poor graduate job market as 바카라사이트 relation between higher education and labour markets has always been ¡°incoherent¡±, he adds. Urbanisation will also fuel higher participation rates as this trend ¡°provides favourable socio-economic and cultural conditions for both middle class growth and 바카라사이트 provision of educational infrastructures¡±, Professor Marginson adds.

But 바카라사이트 most important driver of demand for higher education will be 바카라사이트 desire to reach or maintain a middle-class lifestyle, he says.

¡°There is no ultimate limit to aspirations for social betterment through higher education ¨C it is not subject to economic scarcity,¡± he adds.

jack.grove@tesglobal.com