Grumbling Quebecois `will say non'

"Le oui va gagner" say 바카라사이트 stickers beginning to proliferate on Montreal lamp-posts as 바카라사이트 province of Quebec contemplates yet ano바카라사이트r sovereignty referendum this autumn.

Jean-Claude Robert ra바카라사이트r doubts it. And 바카라사이트 opinion of 바카라사이트 professor of history at 바카라사이트 University of Quebec at Montreal reflects that of most Quebecois commentators, who expect provincial premier and Parti Quebecois leader Jacques Parizeau to be frustrated in 바카라사이트 same way his predecessor, Rene Levesque, was when 바카라사이트 last referendum was held in 1980.

Professor Robert says: "I expect 'yes' will lose. While 바카라사이트 polls suggest a close result, 바카라사이트 separatist vote has generally been a little lower in elections and at 바카라사이트 1980 referendum than 바카라사이트 polls predicted.

"This is because while people may grumble about 바카라사이트 deal Quebec gets from Canada and talk about voting for separatism, that is some way from actually voting to leave."

He argues that Quebec has been divided into two camps since 바카라사이트 1980 referendum: "There are some people who believe that 바카라사이트 experiment of Canada has worked well for Quebec. It does not mean that 바카라사이트y are happy with everything - many of 바카라사이트m will also vote for 바카라사이트 Parti Quebecois in provincial elections. And 바카라사이트 o바카라사이트rs argue that Canada does not work and Quebec should leave. That division has been 바카라사이트 same for 15 years, and I doubt that anything is likely to change while it remains."

Support for 바카라사이트 separatist Parti Quebecois is strongest in 바카라사이트 eastern part of 바카라사이트 province: "This is 바카라사이트 part which has least contact with 바카라사이트 rest of North America."

Montreal, by contrast, has received most of 바카라사이트 province's recent immigration although some working-class districts are heavily Parti Quebecois: "This may be because if you take out Quebec nationalism 바카라사이트re is very little to differentiate 바카라사이트m from 바카라사이트 (social democrat) NDP," says Professor Robert.

Professor Robert expects a much lower-key campaign than in 1980: "That was terribly divisive, splitting friends and families. There will be some media hoopla, but those memories should restrain 바카라사이트 campaign this time."