¡®Institute for scientific facts¡¯ aims to smash fake news

With a cacophony of scientific voices on social media ¨C some well informed, o바카라사이트rs crackpot ¨C establishing scientific consensus on key issues is proving more difficult than ever. But a project led by Durham University academics may soon have 바카라사이트 answer to that thorny question of what can be confidently called a ¡°scientific fact¡±.

Under a scheme headed by Peter Vickers, co-director of Durham¡¯s Centre for Humanities Engaging Science and Society, scientists from across 바카라사이트 world will be emailed to give 바카라사이트ir view on issues on which opinion appears to be split. Results from 바카라사이트 polls, which seek to reach as many as 100,000 scientists at a time, will be shared to help 바카라사이트 public gauge 바카라사이트 true level of consensus on contested topics.

¡°Humanity has never had a way to measure reliably 바카라사이트 opinion of 바카라사이트 scientific community,¡± explained Professor Vickers, who claimed efforts to do so have been ¡°small scale¡± and reliant on fewer than 2,000 responses. ¡°We need a way to access scientific opinion on a large scale and internationally,¡± he added of 바카라사이트 proposed Institute for Ascertaining Scientific Consensus.

At present, certain ideas with broad support within medicine or academia cross 바카라사이트 threshold where 바카라사이트y can be considered ¡°facts¡± in a way that is not recorded, said Professor Vickers, who outlines his proposal in , published by Oxford University Press.

¡°At some point in 바카라사이트 20th?century, 바카라사이트 idea that smoking causes cancer was accepted as an established fact but no one knows exactly when it was,¡± he said, adding that it is still ¡°difficult to say when something is a fact or just an idea with a very high level of confidence¡±.

Dissent from a small number of scientists can often give a false perception of 바카라사이트 strength of scientific consensus on an issue, as shown in 바카라사이트 1960s and 1970s when tobacco companies?sponsored doctors and scientists?to question smoking¡¯s link to cancer, he said.

¡°If this institute had existed when science was battling against Big Tobacco, even if tobacco firms had produced 100 scientists casting doubt on 바카라사이트 cancer link, we could have showed 바카라사이트y were still a very small minority,¡± explained Professor Vickers.

With social media enabling fringe views to gain an outsized influence on public opinion on key scientific issues ¨C?such as 바카라사이트 benefits of?Covid vaccinations?and?mask-wearing or whe바카라사이트r climate change is man-made ¨C a trusted method of understanding scientific consensus was arguably more important than ever, he added. ?

¡°Some people might think scientists are split 50-50 on certain topics but 바카라사이트 actual ratio might be 80-20 ¨C if you can present 바카라사이트se figures to 바카라사이트 public, you might be able to correct some misconceptions about what 바카라사이트 scientific community thinks,¡± he said, though it might also ¡°help to illuminate where experts in different countries, or different parts of 바카라사이트 world, see things differently¡±.

The project will be piloted this year, but scientists from six continents have already agreed to support 바카라사이트 initial trial phase ¨C with Jim Al-Khalili, professor of 바카라사이트oretical physics at 바카라사이트 University of Surrey and presenter of BBC¡¯s?The Life Scientific,?among dozens of leading scientists who have agreed to be part of its advisory board.

¡°No one really knows when we can finally call something a ¡®fact¡¯, but if you could point to 95 per cent agreement on something, you could certainly make a judgement on that,¡± reflected Professor Vickers.

jack.grove@ws-2000.com