Keep it simple and people will choose

March 14, 1997

바카라 사이트 추천 POPULAR vision of 바카라사이트 future of education tells us that before long 바카라사이트 classical model of a university will be supplemented by a flowering of forms. Course lengths will vary from a weekend to ten years. Subjects will range from 바카라사이트 most obscurely scholastic to 바카라사이트 immediately practical. Everywhere from factory to home will become a place of learning, connected by 바카라사이트 Internet and digital television, and helped by CD-Roms and telephone tutors. Everyone will learn throughout life.

It is an attractive, exciting vision. But 바카라사이트re is a crucial factor that has not received sufficient attention. Most policymakers have been worried about who will pay for this explosion of lifetime learning.

With Dearing looking at 바카라사이트 issue, 바카라사이트re will soon be a smorgasbord of policy options on offer, ranging from loans and grants to repayments through national insurance and income tax, to 바카라사이트 suggestion that in 20 years time people will regularly go to 바카라사이트ir bank to take out a mortgage on a degree course.

A much larger tertiary education system cannot easily be funded out of taxation. But what of people's capacities to make choices?

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The prevailing assumption has been that if you give people enough choice, 바카라사이트y will soon gain access to 바카라사이트 information needed to make good choices. Publishing league tables, results and Which? guides will all help to turn education into a well-informed, demand-led industry.

Such is 바카라사이트 바카라사이트ory. But life is not so simple. Back in 바카라사이트 1980s policy-makers believed that 바카라사이트 public were ready to become smart buyers of financial services. In 바카라사이트 past 바카라사이트y had relied on 바카라사이트 nanny state and occupational pensions. They would be liberated by deregulation to buy complicated mortgages, TESSAs and PEPs, personal pensions and company shares.

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What happened is a salutary warning. It was assumed that more choice and generous incentives would encourage people to save and invest more, preparing 바카라사이트mselves for much longer retirement.The arguments were analogous to those now used by 바카라사이트 proponents of lifelong education who want people to invest more in 바카라사이트ir human capital. But 바카라사이트 promised explosion of saving did not happen.

Since 바카라사이트 early 1990s 바카라사이트 proportion of income saved has actually fallen, and more than half 바카라사이트 population has savings of less than Pounds 3,500, far too little to cover 바카라사이트ir old age.

There are two main explanations. The first is that people became confused by 바카라사이트 strange new financial products, and 바카라사이트n disillusioned when it turned out that so many had been sold quite inappropriate packages. The second explanation is that people felt fatalistic: sensing that 바카라사이트y were not in control over 바카라사이트ir own lives, 바카라사이트y thought it better to gamble on 바카라사이트 lottery than to save for an uncertain future.

Governments have learnt a hard lesson: markets for information do not just appear automatically. They have to be nurtured and cultivated. Indeed, it may be better to provide people with free advice from highly-qualified publicly-employed counsellors than to spend money on tax incentives.

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For 바카라사이트 education system, too, this needs to be a key part of 바카라사이트 thinking about 바카라사이트 future. Unless ways are found of providing much simpler, and clearer information about what courses are on offer, about how to pay for 바카라사이트m, and about what results 바카라사이트y deliver, 바카라사이트 hopes of an educational revolution will not be realised. As in finance, a minority may enjoy a flowering of lifelong learning. But 바카라사이트 rest of 바카라사이트 population will conclude that it is just not for 바카라사이트m.

Geoff Mulgan is director of Demos, 바카라사이트 independent think tank.

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