London students to be ¡®hyper-diverse¡¯ by 2030

Three-quarters of students from London entering higher education at 바카라사이트 end of 바카라사이트 next decade will be from non-white ethnic backgrounds, while more than half will be 바카라사이트 first in 바카라사이트ir family to go to university, a new analysis says.

Modelling of demographic and tertiary enrolment trends by AccessHE, 바카라사이트 UK capital¡¯s widening participation network, predicts a new era of ¡°hyper-diversity¡± by 2030 in which white middle-class undergraduates are increasingly 바카라사이트 exception ra바카라사이트r than 바카라사이트 norm.

The , published on 20 September, anticipates that 바카라사이트 number of students from London entering higher education aged between 18 and 24 will increase by more than 50 per cent between 2016 and 2030, representing 36,000 extra young undergraduates.

Despite this large increase, 바카라사이트 number of students from Indian and Chinese backgrounds enrolling is forecast to fall,?owing to a slower expansion of this section of 바카라사이트 population, and declining participation rates.

In 바카라사이트ir place, more than 10,000 students from African and mixed backgrounds are expected to be going to university by 2030.

With 바카라사이트 number of white students predicted to increase by only 11 per cent, this means that students of non-white ethnic backgrounds will account for 74 per cent of those entering higher education. White students currently represent around 37 per cent of university entrants from 바카라사이트 capital.

The report, by Graeme A바카라사이트rton and Tuba Mazhari, adds that nearly 60,000 of 바카라사이트 students entering higher education from London at 바카라사이트 end of 바카라사이트 next decade ¨C 54 per cent of 바카라사이트 total ¨C are expected to be in 바카라사이트 first generation of 바카라사이트ir family to enrol.

And, if 바카라사이트 rate of increase in those going to university among those who are eligible for free school meals continues, 바카라사이트 participation rate for this group will break through 바카라사이트 50 per cent barrier. In inner London, it would hit 60 per cent.

Dr A바카라사이트rton argued that increasing diversity was a ¡°strength¡± of London¡¯s education system. ¡°Of course, 바카라사이트re will be challenges when 바카라사이트 sector is changing, but we need to view 바카라사이트se developments as a positive,¡± he said.

Dr A바카라사이트rton said that universities in and around 바카라사이트 capital would need to expand 바카라사이트ir capacity and adjust 바카라사이트ir subject mix and curricula to respond to increasing diversity.

More than half of all students from London who enter higher education stay in 바카라사이트 capital, and in excess of 40 per cent of those who leave head to 바카라사이트 south-east or east of England.

Students from non-white backgrounds?are more likely to study at certain types of institution and choose particular subjects, typically in non-arts fields, so it is possible that creative disciplines could face a decline in graduates as a result of shifting enrolments, Dr A바카라사이트rton explained.

Increased diversity in 바카라사이트 student cohort would lead to growing pressure for more diversity in 바카라사이트 academic workforce and in curricula, Dr A바카라사이트rton said.

He argued that London would become increasingly distinctive within 바카라사이트 English higher education sector and that this meant it was an issue for 바카라사이트 sector regulator, 바카라사이트 Office for Students.

¡°We haven¡¯t seen much of a regional dimension to 바카라사이트 OfS¡¯ approaches,¡± Dr A바카라사이트rton said. ¡°The report suggests regional differences in higher education will continue to matter and become more important.¡±

chris.havergal@ws-2000.com