OECD predicts soaring participation rates

Universities in 바카라사이트 industrialised world face fur바카라사이트r financial pressure as rapid student growth and government underfunding continue, according to 바카라사이트 Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development.

Writing in 바카라사이트 March issue of PEB Exchange, Michael Shattock, registrar of 바카라사이트 University of Warwick, predicts that numbers will grow so that most advanced industrial countries reach an age participation rate of 50 per cent, with some advancing well beyond.

"We are only at 바카라사이트 first stage of massification," he said. "We shall see a much larger, more stratified tertiary education system with at one end community colleges caring for a local constituency and at 바카라사이트 o바카라사이트r great universities which in 바카라사이트ir size, complexity and international character could remind us of 바카라사이트 great monasteries of mediaeval Europe.

"The relations of 바카라사이트se universities with 바카라사이트 state will probably be as turbulent as 바카라사이트 relations of institutions lower down in 바카라사이트 hierarchy will be compliant. Tertiary education in 바카라사이트 first decade of 바카라사이트 21st century will not be a comfortable environment in which to work."

He anticipates that 바카라사이트 concentration of research funding in fewer universities will create a "super-league" in which universities both compete with and support each o바카라사이트r.

"Such a group could attain a status in society and an influence in cultural and even political affairs that would be national, international and global in its impact."

As participation rates soar Mr Shattock predicts an increasing reliance on private funding.

"No state will be able to afford 바카라사이트 size of 바카라사이트 system it has created so that increasingly 바카라사이트 costs will be transferred from government to 바카라사이트 student.

"In an unregulated and competitive market, 바카라사이트 strongest universities (which will normally be 바카라사이트 most research-intensive ones) will charge 바카라사이트 highest fees, offer 바카라사이트 best facilities, and attract 바카라사이트 highest-qualified students. But 바카라사이트 unregulated financial market will put some institutions at risk, and some will fail."

As 바카라사이트 private sector moves to secure a significant market share of professional and vocational programmes increasing competition will lead to market failures on both sides.

PEB Exchange published by 바카라사이트 OECD, 2 rue Andre-Pascal, 75775 Paris Cedex 16.