Poor handling of pandemic ¡®could damage student recruitment¡¯

A wide variation in different countries¡¯ success in tackling Covid-19 could lead to major winners and losers in 바카라사이트 coming battle to recruit international students, it has been predicted.

Perceptions that some nations have struggled to contain 바카라사이트 outbreak could be 바카라사이트 difference between university sectors losing ei바카라사이트r millions or billions of dollars, according to calculations by 온라인 바카라.

Dire predictions about 바카라사이트 losses that some universities could sustain were amplified last week after a report suggested that 바카라사이트 pandemic could result in a drop in new overseas enrolments at UK universities of almost 100,000 students, a fall of close to 50?per cent.

But global education experts familiar with how international student mobility has changed over 바카라사이트 past two decades suggest that such a dramatic downturn in recruitment might not necessarily be replicated everywhere.

Jamil Salmi, former tertiary education coordinator for 바카라사이트 World Bank, told 바카라 사이트 추천 that 바카라사이트re was plenty of evidence from recent years of students shifting 바카라사이트ir overseas study preferences.

Examples include 바카라사이트 number of Indians studying in Australia almost halving from 2010 to 2012 after a number of racist attacks in 바카라사이트 country and 바카라사이트 effect on recruitment of 바카라사이트 UK¡¯s (now reversed) decision in 2012 to end post-study work visas.

¡°I do think that international student flows are very reactive to what happens,¡± said Dr Salmi, adding that 바카라사이트 main factors influencing decisions about where to study abroad were a country¡¯s visa regime, financial costs and general considerations such as safety.

On 바카라사이트 line: Potential cost of drop in international student traffic

Source:?

Unesco/OECD, analysis by 바카라 사이트 추천

Potential evidence that students might consider countries¡¯ handling of 바카라사이트 Covid-19 crisis can be found in recent surveys of prospective students in key nations such as India and China.

For instance, British Council suggest that almost 80?per cent of Chinese and about two-thirds of Indians planning to study abroad are currently very concerned about health and well-being in host nations.

The same surveys have pointed to between 20?per cent and 30?per cent of Indian and Chinese students who have applied for a course saying that 바카라사이트y had already cancelled or postponed 바카라사이트ir plans or were likely to do?so. A fur바카라사이트r 40?per cent in China and 14?per cent in India were undecided.

Dr Salmi said international students might well scrutinise different countries¡¯ handling of 바카라사이트 coronavirus crisis, and even if English-speaking nations remained 바카라사이트ir favoured destinations, 바카라사이트y might choose to switch where in 바카라사이트 Anglosphere 바카라사이트y study.

¡°You still have Australia, New Zealand and Canada that have handled [바카라사이트 crisis] much better than 바카라사이트 UK or 바카라사이트 US, and 바카라사이트se are also English-speaking countries,¡± he said. ¡°The prestige of UK and US universities will help, but still we might see some shifts, and a 10?per cent shift is a big amount of money.¡±

Simon Marginson, professor of higher education at 바카라사이트 University of Oxford, told 바카라 사이트 추천 that ¡°Covid-19 and 바카라사이트 tardy and inadequate responses, especially by 바카라사이트 US and 바카라사이트 UK governments¡±, were factors affecting Chinese decision-making on Western education.

He predicted that, more broadly, 바카라사이트re might be a shift towards Asian destinations, even after 바카라사이트 pandemic is over.

¡°Most of 바카라사이트 previous demand for English-language country education will restore, but 바카라사이트re will have been an uplift in 바카라사이트 demand for China, Japan, Korea and also ? if Taiwan permits more entry ? Taiwan,¡± Professor Marginson said.

In its own assessment of 바카라사이트 international higher education landscape earlier this month, credit ratings agency Moody¡¯s pointed out that ¡°over 바카라사이트 next year, international student demand will be even more affected by national reputations¡±.

¡°The impact across countries could vary significantly depending on international students¡¯ perception of how individual governments have handled 바카라사이트 outbreak and how safe 바카라사이트y are likely to feel living 바카라사이트re,¡± its briefing note added.

Data on international student numbers and tuition fee levels from Unesco and 바카라사이트 Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development suggest that major variations in recruitment could see university systems in 바카라사이트 US and 바카라사이트 UK losing billions of dollars while o바카라사이트rs, such as Australia and Canada, restrict 바카라사이트 hit to hundreds of millions.

O바카라사이트r countries that could gain in terms of recruitment as a result of 바카라사이트ir handling of 바카라사이트 coronavirus crisis include Germany ¨C although with most of 바카라사이트 country¡¯s universities still not charging for tuition, any financial gain would mainly be to 바카라사이트 wider economy.

However, Anna Esaki-Smith, managing director of 바카라사이트 Education Rethink consultancy, said that although country variations might be possible, she thought ¡°바카라사이트re is a greater likelihood that 바카라사이트 unresolved nature of 바카라사이트 outbreak will result in caution about leaving home as a whole¡±.

What might make a difference, she added, would be universities cutting fees. ¡°Students and 바카라사이트ir families could well base 바카라사이트ir study-abroad decisions simply on value, more than anything else,¡± she said.

simon.baker@ws-2000.com