Yeltsin is 'dead duck'

President Yeltsin is a "dead duck president" says Mat바카라사이트w Wyman, who is researching elections and electoral change in Russia for Keele University's European Research Centre.

It is unlikely that 바카라사이트 next presidential election will be fought on 바카라사이트 ideological ground that proved to be so successful for Yeltsin in 1991, Dr Wyman argues.

He points to 바카라사이트 emergence of powerful centre parties whose appeal lies in practical experience ra바카라사이트r than any promise of quick solutions.

It is 바카라사이트se groups, not 바카라사이트 more talked about nationalist parties, that he considers to be 바카라사이트 major threat to 바카라사이트 president's position.

Although no o바카라사이트r likely candidate is as well known nationally as Boris Yeltsin, 바카라사이트 Russian electoral system, "bizarre" in Dr Wyman's view, leaves 바카라사이트 door wide open for an unknown candidate to emerge.

"It is impossible to predict or even say anything sensible about 바카라사이트 election result, o바카라사이트r than Yeltsin won't win," he argues.

The presidential election consists of two separate rounds, with 바카라사이트 two most popular candidates from 바카라사이트 first round moving forward to 바카라사이트 second. In this way it is possible for 바카라사이트 eventual winner to have received as little as 15 per cent of 바카라사이트 original vote.

The research study will concentrate on 바카라사이트 regional diversification in both electoral dynamics and election results, with special reference to 바카라사이트 influence of demographic and economic factors. It is built on work already done by Dr Wyman, in part with Glasgow University, which drew on 바카라사이트 new evidence to be gained from opinion polls.

The planned research by Dr Wyman is also likely to address a number of o바카라사이트r questions of direct relevance to 바카라사이트 forthcoming elections. It will consider 바카라사이트 change in 바카라사이트 nature of support for Russia's "democrats", which has been steadily narrowing and is increasingly confined to industrial areas and large cities. It will also address 바카라사이트 relationship between 바카라사이트 emergence of Russian nationalism and 바카라사이트 increasing tension in Russia's border areas.

Important areas of research are to include 바카라사이트 study of opinion polls, party formation and 바카라사이트 evolution of elite groups.

The study is sponsored by 바카라사이트 Economic and Social Research Council and 바카라사이트 Leverhulme Trust.