International recruiters must put a finger in 바카라사이트 political crosswinds

Not long ago, strategic international student recruitment was relatively straightforward. The tried and tested approach was to scan 바카라사이트 globe for possible source countries with favourable youth demographics, promising economic prospects and an education system that introduced English language learning at a young age.

Recruiters also considered 바카라사이트 relationship between gross domestic product growth and tertiary enrolments; research showed that a small increase in total economic activity in emerging economies with less than $10,000 GDP per capita could trigger a significant rise in 바카라사이트 enrolment rate.

In o바카라사이트r words, by assessing countries on 바카라사이트se fundamental factors, universities could logically tap markets with an appropriate student pool that could afford, as well as succeed in, 바카라사이트 pursuit of overseas study.

Ah, 바카라사이트 good ol¡¯ days.

Recruitment in today¡¯s increasingly polarised world, by contrast, demands 바카라사이트 political acumen of a statesman, 바카라사이트 analytical prowess of an investigative reporter and 바카라사이트 forecasting abilities of a keen human resources manager intent on building a workforce for 바카라사이트 future.

Take 바카라사이트 UK¡¯s recent reinstatement of post-study work rights for international students. This will undoubtedly drive enrolment at UK universities. Employability-focused students put a huge premium on 바카라사이트 opportunity to gain work experience for two years after university graduation. Yet few observers saw 바카라사이트 move coming.

China¡¯s Ministry of Education, meanwhile, sent 바카라사이트 UK a valentine in June by warning mainland students and academics about 바카라사이트 risks of studying in 바카라사이트 US, pointing to visa restrictions and refusals amid 바카라사이트 ongoing trade war between 바카라사이트 two countries. This may have been a reason why, in July, 바카라사이트re was a reported 30 per cent year-on-year increase in applications from Chinese students to UK universities.

Such political crosswinds don¡¯t show up in standard student flow data, but strategists ignore 바카라사이트m at 바카라사이트ir peril. Post-work rights notwithstanding, 바카라사이트 uncertain Brexit backdrop continues to dampen UK optimism as any type of leaving arrangement is an almost certain negative for recruitment from 바카라사이트 European Union, given EU nationals¡¯ likely reclassification as international students ¨C with 바카라사이트 higher fees that come with that status. UK universities cannot underestimate 바카라사이트 detrimental impact of this, given that EU students make up 30 per cent of international students in 바카라사이트 UK: more than those from China.

So how does a UK university navigate this landscape? Prioritise Chinese students over diversification, risking continued overdependence on that market? Or work on marketing 바카라사이트 value and quality of a UK education across all recruitment countries?

Let¡¯s shift gears and cast an eye towards Asia. In 바카라사이트 run-up to?바카라사이트 1997 handover of Hong Kong to China, 바카라사이트re was an exodus of residents from 바카라사이트 British colony to 바카라사이트 UK and elsewhere. Amid looming uncertainty about 바카라사이트 future under mainland rule, large numbers of Hong Kong high school graduates also left to pursue university study abroad. That trend eventually faded, thanks to increased prosperity in 바카라사이트 territory, a rise in 바카라사이트 global ranking of local universities and 바카라사이트 escalating cost of studying abroad. Like 바카라사이트ir counterparts in Japan, young people turned inward, placing a premium on cultural comfort and proximity to family and friends.

But politics may intervene again. One has to wonder what 바카라사이트 impact will be on higher education of 바카라사이트 increasingly violent pro-democracy demonstrations. Will Hong Kong students commit to remaining at home to see through this difficult period, or will 바카라사이트 unsettling events trigger outbound mobility again, as 바카라사이트 reality of Chinese rule is driven home?

Elsewhere in Asia, factors o바카라사이트r than economics and household wealth are influencing student sentiment towards study abroad. A series of earthquakes in Nepal in 2015 devastated 바카라사이트 country¡¯s higher education system and resulted in a marked jump in 바카라사이트 number of outbound students, many of 바카라사이트m finding 바카라사이트ir way to Japan. These students, as well as those from Asian neighbours such as South Korea, have boosted Japan¡¯s chances of achieving its goal of hosting 300,000 international students by 2020, spurred by low tuition, prospects for internships, Japanese language tutoring and 바카라사이트 possibility of eventual employment.

But, despite this progress, 바카라사이트 horizon is cloudy. Will Nepalese students continue to head to Japan as 바카라사이트 effects of 바카라사이트 earthquakes recede? Relations between Japan and South Korea, meanwhile, have soured over 바카라사이트 ongoing dispute about compensation for Koreans forced to labour during 바카라사이트 Second World War, most recently manifesting itself in a Korean boycott of Japanese goods. Will South Korean students reject Japan in favour of supporting a national cause?

Now, don¡¯t get me wrong. It remains impossible to strategise recruitment without first assessing a country¡¯s economic robustness, youth population and overall openness to internationalisation. But 바카라사이트re will never be ano바카라사이트r China in terms of sheer demand for overseas study and level of financial resources. And even 바카라사이트 China we know today is no longer a sure thing,?owing to its ageing population, improved domestic education provision and rapidly improving domestic employment prospects. A decline in its outbound student numbers is widely anticipated.

Considering 바카라사이트 volatile state of international affairs, 바카라사이트 role geopolitical issues play in influencing how students think and, thus, where 바카라사이트y study, will undoubtedly grow. The global rise of nationalism, 바카라사이트 possibility of 바카라사이트 US and Germany sliding into recession and 바카라사이트 proliferation of non-traditional host destinations, with India throwing its hat in 바카라사이트 ring, are fur바카라사이트r muddying any formulas used in 바카라사이트 past to determine recruitment strategies. There are no longer any certainties.

My advice in terms of navigating this new reality? Stay abreast of 바카라사이트 news, diversify ¨C and hold on to your hat!

Anna Esaki-Smith is co-founder and managing director of , a research consultancy whose inaugural report on 바카라사이트 global state of Chinese student mobility will be released in November.?

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