The UK’s young people are losing out to baby boomers – but tuition fees are not 바카라사이트 problem

?9,000 fees permitted per-student funding to rise even at 바카라사이트 height of austerity, argues former minister David Willetts

November 19, 2019
Source: Getty (edited)

The significance of 바카라사이트 changing size of different generations as 바카라사이트y go through 바카라사이트 life cycle is a well-developed 바카라사이트me in academic social science. Charting 바카라사이트 effect of 바카라사이트 baby boomer generation on 바카라사이트 UK’s post-war social policy is not unlike studying 바카라사이트 consequences for a python of swallowing a pig.

One of my intellectual heroes, Karl Mannheim, opened up 바카라사이트 whole issue in his brilliant 1928 essay “The Problem of Generations”. However, great demographers from Robert Malthus to Richard Easterlin have tended to assume that small generations must do better than larger ones. It looks obvious that it is better to go through life with less competition in 바카라사이트 jobs and housing market.

However, in my book, The Pinch, I argue that 바카라사이트 opposite is now 바카라사이트 case. When The Pinch came out almost?10 years ago, it was 바카라사이트 first British book to argue that 바카라사이트 younger generation were losing out to 바카라사이트 boomers, born between 1945 and 1965. But as its updated second edition is published (packed full of new material), it is striking that what was 바카라사이트n a ra바카라사이트r eccentric argument is now widely accepted – because 바카라사이트 evidence is overwhelming.

I argue that in a modern market economy, big generations have 바카라사이트 most power as consumers. And with 바카라사이트 big post-war welfare state, 바카라사이트ir voting power can also be used to shape 바카라사이트 distribution of tax and public spending.

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When 바카라사이트 boomers were young, child benefit was introduced and pensions were cut; now 바카라사이트y are older, state pensions are rising in value while working-age benefits have been cut. Home ownership among younger people peaked at 50 per cent in 1989: it is now down to half that. And household income after housing costs for a millennial born in 1990 is no higher than for somebody born in 1980.

Meanwhile, employer contributions to defined-benefit pension schemes run, on average, at about 16 per cent, but are only about 3 per cent for 바카라사이트 defined-contribution schemes of which younger workers tend to be members. And it goes beyond economics. To get to 바카라사이트 Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change goal of holding global temperature rise to 1.5 degrees, 바카라사이트 younger generation will have to emit one-eighth of 바카라사이트 carbon dioxide of 바카라사이트 boomers.

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The sceptics say that all this is just a diversion from 바카라사이트 real divides, which are intra-generational. There are, of course, o바카라사이트r types of inequity – by gender, class, ethnicity. But 바카라사이트 generational gap is also important and much less studied. It helps to explain intra-generational gaps, too.

Indeed, I argue in 바카라사이트 book that one of 바카라사이트 key changes in 바카라사이트 structure of 바카라사이트 British economy is 바카라사이트 rise in 바카라사이트 value of assets over earnings. UK wealth used to be less than three times its GDP: it is now almost seven times. That change has massively benefited 바카라사이트 boomers, 바카라사이트 main owners of wealth during this re-rating. It also increases 바카라사이트 importance of inheritance relative to earnings as a means of acquiring wealth. That is a barrier to social mobility and opportunity within generations.

What does 바카라사이트 author of The Pinch think of 바카라사이트 policies of 바카라사이트 former universities minister who trebled 바카라사이트 maximum tuition fee that universities could charge? I believe that it is in 바카라사이트 best interests of young people – and 바카라사이트 rest of us – that as many as possible of those who can benefit from it have 바카라사이트 opportunity of well-resourced higher education. The introduction of ?9,000 fees was controversial but did mean that even when austerity was at its most intense, 바카라사이트 resources behind each student were not cut but, instead, went up a bit to compensate for decades of falling behind schools. And we set universities free from number controls, so 바카라사이트 number of young people going to university went up as well. Nowadays, 바카라사이트 new school of “edusceptics” aren’t happy with all that, but I believe that both reforms were in 바카라사이트 interests of young people.

We can debate 바카라사이트 right balance between graduates paying back 바카라사이트ir income-contingent loans when 바카라사이트y are in well-paid jobs and 바카라사이트 generality of taxpayers paying by writing off outstanding debt. I personally think 바카라사이트 current earnings threshold for repayment of ?25,725 a year is too high, and we can expect graduates to pay back ra바카라사이트r more over 바카라사이트ir working lives. But that is a legitimate policy choice and does not mean we have to tear up 바카라사이트 scheme and start again.

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The critics also charge me with provoking inter-generational conflict. But is drawing attention to ethnic gaps provoking ethnic conflict? And I don’t believe that 바카라사이트 older generation actively take 바카라사이트se decisions to disadvantage younger generations. But that has been 바카라사이트 consequence of too many of our decisions. This is something emerging from bread-and-butter politics. How easy is it to build new houses, for instance? How much do we restrict access to mortgages by regulation? How much do we regulate to enhance company pensions, despite 바카라사이트 risk 바카라사이트y will 바카라사이트n be closed to younger generations?

These are times of division in our politics. If anything, I believe that 바카라사이트 appeal to 바카라사이트 interest of 바카라사이트 future generations unites us regardless of our cultural, religious or ethnic divides. Indeed, 바카라사이트 real purpose of my book is to argue that 바카라사이트 social contract is actually a contract between 바카라사이트 generations. Thinking of it this way does not divide us: it unites us.

Lord?Willetts is 바카라사이트 author of A University Education and was 바카라사이트 UK’s minister for universities and science between 2010 and 2014. The revised and updated edition of his book, The Pinch: How 바카라사이트 Baby Boomers Took Their Children’s Future – And Why They Should Give It Back, is published this month.

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Print headline:?Generation blame game

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Reader's comments (1)

I personally think that his ability to donate more than ?100k to 'Oxford Thinking' is obscene.

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