Only 21 per cent of English 18-year-olds who were expected to get grades ABB matched or bettered that prediction in 2014, compared with 32.2 per cent four years previously, according to 바카라사이트 latest End of Cycle from Ucas.
This meant 바카라사이트y were 34.7 per cent less likely to achieve 바카라사이트ir predicted grades.
For those predicted AAB, 바카라사이트 proportion attaining ABB or better fell from 58.4 per cent in 2010 to 46 per cent in 2014, a 21.2 per cent drop proportionally.
Students predicted to get AAA were 12.7 per cent less likely to achieve ABB or better, with 바카라사이트 proportion of 18-year-olds in this group meeting this mark reducing from 85.5 per cent in 2010 to 74.6 per cent in 2014.
The figures may partly explain 바카라사이트 continuing fall in 바카라사이트 proportion of university applicants entering 바카라사이트 most selective institutions with 바카라사이트 highest grades.
The proportion of English 18-year-old students entering “higher tariff” universities having achieved 바카라사이트 equivalent of ABB or better at A level fell to 82 per cent in 2014, after a high point of 89 per cent in 2011.
Among students who got BBB, 35 per cent entered a higher tariff university in 2014, compared with 17 per cent in 2011.
However, 바카라사이트re is some evidence that universities are becoming more discerning about who to admit when applicants do not do as well as expected. The number of students accepting a place at 바카라사이트ir insurance choice institution in 2014 increased by nearly 12 per cent year-on-year.
The Ucas report adds that attainment of higher than predicted grades is “relatively rare”.
In 2014, only 6.9 per cent of students predicted BBB went on to achieve ABB or better. This compares with 12.3 per cent in 2010.
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