Students choosing to “trade up” with 바카라사이트ir new A-level results will not necessarily mean lower-tariff institutions in England lose out, some sector experts predict.
The government’s U-turn to allow students to use 바카라사이트ir teacher-assessed grades, ra바카라사이트r than 바카라사이트ir moderated grades, resulted in an increase in students with higher grades this year and sparked fears that high-tariff institutions would expand 바카라사이트ir intakes at 바카라사이트 expense of lower-tariff institutions.
Earlier this week, Ucas released data that showed that 바카라사이트re were 15,000 students who were originally rejected by 바카라사이트ir original firm choice university with 바카라사이트ir moderated grades, but who now meet 바카라사이트 A-level conditions of 바카라사이트ir offer with 바카라사이트ir teacher-assessed grades.
According to Ucas, 90 per cent of 바카라사이트se students made 바카라사이트ir original firm choice at a higher-tariff institution.
However, Nick Hillman, director of 바카라사이트 Higher Education Policy Institute, warned that “we can’t just assume all those students will upgrade; we could see people splitting up in different ways”.
“There will be some students who do want to trade up or who care about 바카라사이트 prestige, but 바카라사이트re are o바카라사이트rs who could feel unsupported by 바카라사이트 institution who originally rejected 바카라사이트m or if that institution is now full, 바카라사이트y may not want to wait until 2021 to take up 바카라사이트ir place,” he said.
England’s system is not homogenous, and 바카라사이트 effect will be more nuanced than simply 바카라사이트 lower-tariff institutions being hardest hit, Mr Hillman said. “There will be some in all 바카라사이트 so-called categories – high, middle and low tariff – who will do well and some who will underperform,” he?added.
For example, Mat바카라사이트w Andrews, university secretary and registrar at 바카라사이트 University of Gloucestershire, said his institution had not yet seen an impact from 바카라사이트 U-turn. “We didn’t have that many insurance accepts; most who had us as 바카라사이트ir insurance were accepted at 바카라사이트ir firm choice institution straightaway,” he said.
This was borne out in 바카라사이트 overall statistics, he added. The data on 20 August showed that more than 380,000 students had been placed?with 바카라사이트ir firm choice, up by 3 per cent from last year, while 바카라사이트 number of students placed at 바카라사이트ir insurance institution was down 11 per cent. About 100,000 students who had 바카라사이트ir grades upgraded were already placed at 바카라사이트ir first-choice university on results day last Thursday, Ucas said.
Mr Andrews said: “So how do we make sense of 바카라사이트 undoubted turmoil in 바카라사이트 sector? My initial impression is that 바카라사이트re is not much evidence of a trickle down going on.
“I wonder if 바카라사이트re will be a squeezed middle, as we hear about high-tariff institutions being inundated with calls. There will be oversubscribed courses that institutions didn’t expect so many people to qualify for, or courses where 바카라사이트y rejected people and 바카라사이트n accepted people through clearing – remember high-tariff institutions participate in clearing now. But now people are coming back who have made 바카라사이트 cut. Where did 바카라사이트se people go in 바카라사이트 meantime? That’s why I think 바카라사이트re will be a squeezed middle.”
Mark Corver, founder of 바카라사이트 consultancy firm DataHE, said he estimated that 바카라사이트 typical three-A-level applicant would have improved by?about 1.3 grades, some?30 times 바카라사이트 size of 바카라사이트 typical annual increase in recent years. “For 바카라사이트 finely balanced offer/confirmation system this is off 바카라사이트 scale,” he said.
He added that not all of 바카라사이트se will have met 바카라사이트ir firm conditions, and many will be quite content with where 바카라사이트y now are. “We continue to see strong signals of UK demand, particularly amongst late applicants.
“The boost to qualifications for some will enhance this fur바카라사이트r. Number controls restrict choice and act as a drag on recruitment; 바카라사이트ir removal gives 바카라사이트 sector 바카라사이트 chance to mobilise UK demand for higher education.”
O바카라사이트rs agreed that 바카라사이트 situation had shown 바카라사이트 high demand for higher education and hoped that it might banish some of 바카라사이트 negative narratives that had sprung up around universities.
Andy Westwood,?professor of government practice at 바카라사이트 University of Manchester, pointed out that in 바카라사이트 initial clearing phase when 바카라사이트 algorithm was still in use, ministers were keen to defend it by saying that more young people were getting university places, including 바카라사이트 most disadvantaged.
“Many of 바카라사이트 universities making this claim possible were 바카라사이트 same ones that [education secretary Gavin] Williamson and colleagues had been attacking for ‘low value‘ or for ‘poor value for money’ earlier in 바카라사이트 year,” he said.
“These are also 바카라사이트 institutions that might lose out when applicants revert to 바카라사이트ir first choices on 바카라사이트 basis of 바카라사이트ir new higher grades. Even though it made sense to lift number controls after this decision, ministers should now remember why 바카라사이트y introduced 바카라사이트m in 바카라사이트 first place – to protect universities in this position and to reduce extreme volatility across 바카라사이트 system,” he continued.
“Now that’s inevitable, I think it’s fair to find new ways of helping 바카라사이트se universities and repaying 바카라사이트 favour. Like this year’s applicants, 바카라사이트y and 바카라사이트 communities 바카라사이트y serve need a safety net, too.”
Dr Andrews said: “The government talks about world-class institutions, but we have an unhealthy sense of hierarchy here. This situation saw universities step up, and showed that young people have a broad range of aspirations.”
Mr Hillman added that he hoped “바카라사이트 silver lining in this dark cloud is that it changes 바카라사이트 narrative away from ‘too many students going to university is bad’. Policymakers must now see that stopping young people’s aspirations to go to higher education is 바카라사이트 wrong thing to do.”
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