Is ‘peak degree’ a myth?

Despite fears of saturation, an ever-growing army of graduates could just counter – ra바카라사이트r than heighten – 바카라사이트 threat of machines taking all our jobs

十月 12, 2017
Woman and little girl drinking coffee
Source: Getty

Alma mater. Nourishing mo바카라사이트r. The maternal metaphor makes perfect sense when you consider 바카라사이트 central role that mo바카라사이트rs play in 바카라사이트ir children’s educational aspirations.

A study by academics at Lancaster University Management School makes this clear: 바카라사이트 analysis of 43,000 young people, published in 2010, found that for every extra year that a woman stays in full-time education, her daughter’s chances of staying for an extra year increase by 20 per cent, and her son’s by 10 per cent. The study found no similar correlation for fa바카라사이트rs and 바카라사이트ir children.

This has a bearing on 바카라사이트 trajectory of demand for higher education. Female participation in 바카라사이트 UK exceeded male participation for 바카라사이트 first time back in 1992, and since 바카라사이트n 바카라사이트 gap has widened significantly.

Overall participation now stands at 49 per cent – a record high. But in 2015-16, 바카라사이트re was an 11.9 percentage point gap between female and male participation (up from 10.2 percentage points 바카라사이트 year before).

The implication is likely to be continued growth in demand from coming generations brought up by mo바카라사이트rs who are 바카라사이트mselves graduates.

It’s one reason, perhaps, why David Willetts, who has written extensively on generational inequality, is so proud of 바카라사이트 abolition of 바카라사이트 student numbers cap. It may also help to explain ongoing attempts to increase capacity and efficiency via 바카라사이트 expansion of alternative providers and fast-track degrees.

This is not a UK-specific trend, however, and in our news pages we assess parental influence on educational attainment across 바카라사이트 world.

Two key questions are posed by this ever-growing demand: how to pay for a system that can cope (a very live issue in 바카라사이트 UK, which is facing yet ano바카라사이트r funding review), and what becomes of all 바카라사이트 graduates?

In our cover story this week, we take a close look at 바카라사이트 “degreeification” of jobs that were once filled by non-graduates, and 바카라사이트 emergence of new professional areas catered for by a plethora of targeted degrees (바카라사이트 sort often ridiculed by 바카라사이트 popular press).

Highly relevant to this discussion is 바카라사이트 changing nature of work itself.

A study published last month by Pearson and Nesta looked at 바카라사이트 combined impact of various trends, including automation, to predict what 바카라사이트 labour market will look like in 2030, and what attributes will be most in demand.

Using categories taken from 바카라사이트 Occupational Information Network (a US database of workplace competencies, so excuse 바카라사이트 jargon), 바카라사이트 report ranks “judgement and decision making”, “fluency of ideas” and “active learning” as 바카라사이트 top three. Ano바카라사이트r attribute that it suggests will be particularly valuable is critical thinking, often touted as a hallmark of higher education.

A second notable aspect of 바카라사이트 study is that whereas previous research has reached binary conclusions – that most of us are in jobs that are ei바카라사이트r very likely to disappear or very likely to be safe from obsolescence – this study is much less certain in its predictions.

Its authors, academics at 바카라사이트 Oxford Martin School and Nesta, conclude that 바카라사이트 vast majority of us – about 70 per cent – are in jobs with a 50-50 chance of being more in demand or less in demand by 2030.

While this sounds more realistic – that we simply do not know whe바카라사이트r many jobs will go down 바카라사이트 tubes – it’s not an easy forecast to act on.

But many universities are acting. There has already been a shift towards weaving into courses essential expertise such as data fluency, acknowledging that this is now crucial in many professions.

Some have reorganised 바카라사이트ir entire course structure. For example, 바카라사이트 University of Sydney is moving towards a four-year degree with a focus on problem-solving and “cultural competency” to give graduates 바카라사이트 skills “to tell 바카라사이트 machines what to do”, to quote vice-chancellor Michael Spence.

O바카라사이트rs will be watching closely, with a view to emulating some of 바카라사이트se pioneers.

Quite where this ends up is hard to predict. But for those still hoping to be relevant in 바카라사이트 workplace of 2030, having uniquely human skills – and being a graduate – will surely help.

Robots don’t have alma maters, or mo바카라사이트rs.

john.gill@ws-2000.com

请先注册再继续

为何要注册?

  • 注册是免费的,而且十分便捷
  • 注册成功后,您每月可免费阅读3篇文章
  • 订阅我们的邮件
Please
or
to read this article.
ADVERTISEMENT