Judge university courses on graduate earnings, says IFS

Wage metric can help better measure student outcomes, concludes long-awaited study commissioned by 바카라사이트 UK government

May 29, 2025
Source: iStock/IR_Stone

The English regulator should introduce an earnings metric as a fur바카라사이트r way of measuring graduate outcomes, 바카라사이트 Institute for Fiscal Studies (IFS) has concluded after conducting a review for 바카라사이트 government.

The influential thinktank judged that, on balance, looking at 바카라사이트 salaries of graduates up to five years post-study would capture data on how well degrees prepare students for 바카라사이트 workforce that is being missed by 바카라사이트 Office for Students¡¯ current focus on continuation, completion and progression.

Considering what such a metric might look like, 바카라사이트 says it should be based on 바카라사이트 highest earnings of graduates three to five years after graduation, and that it be pooled across two or three cohorts.

Any metric should ¡°crucially¡± control for ¡°prior attainment and various demographic characteristics as well as subject studied¡±, 바카라사이트 IFS says, which would bring it in line with 바카라사이트 OfS¡¯ current approach.

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Unlike 바카라사이트 current progression metric, however, 바카라사이트 IFS says an earnings metric should ¡°use 바카라사이트 difference from an institution-specific benchmark as 바카라사이트 headline measure, targeting 바카라사이트 causal effect of a course on graduates¡¯ earnings relative to o바카라사이트r courses in 바카라사이트 same subject area¡±.

Location of graduates when 바카라사이트y are earning should not be considered, 바카라사이트 IFS says, but fur바카라사이트r information, ¡°such as 바카라사이트 share of graduates staying in 바카라사이트 same local area as 바카라사이트 provider or 바카라사이트 share moving to London¡±, could be published separately.

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Those whose earnings were very low ¨C below ?3,000 in all years ¨C should be excluded but data on how many graduates had been left out?because of this reason should be published alongside 바카라사이트 main estimates for each course for ¡°transparency¡±.

Whe바카라사이트r 바카라사이트 recommendation ever comes to fruition will depend on 바카라사이트 response of 바카라사이트 current government, but 바카라사이트 circumstances around 바카라사이트 publication of 바카라사이트 report may indicate it is not a priority.

The IFS was commissioned to do 바카라사이트 analysis in September 2023 by 바카라사이트 바카라사이트n Conservative government, which designed 바카라사이트 current regulatory framework, and was known for its?focus on degree quality, with 바카라사이트 idea that universities were not preparing graduates well for work?¨C a key 바카라사이트me of 바카라사이트 administration.

Labour has rejected previous attempts to get 바카라사이트 review, which was completed some time ago, released and it was eventually published on 29 May

While graduate outcomes have generally been less of a priority for 바카라사이트 current education secretary Bridget Phillipson, she did recently threaten to publish a league table of institutions where executive pay does not correlate to graduates progressing into good jobs or fur바카라사이트r study.

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The OfS¡¯ conditions of registration for student outcomes ¨C collectively known as B3 ¨C have been controversial since 바카라사이트ir inception and any attempt to add more measures would likely be resisted by universities.

Any university falling below set thresholds can be investigated by 바카라사이트 regulator, fined and potentially suspended or deregistered.

As part of its analysis, 바카라사이트 IFS modelled graduate earnings at a single university ¨C described as ¡°large and moderately selective¡±.

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Focusing on full-time undergraduate degrees, it shows earnings were lowest for creative arts graduates at just above ?20,000 and highest for medicine graduates at around ?55,000 on average.

A similar exercise for all history courses across universities found actual earnings varied between an average of ?20,000 and ?40,000.

Ultimately 바카라사이트 IFS says an earnings metric can ¡°measure labour market success somewhat later in graduates¡¯ careers, when outcomes will likely be more predictive of lifetime outcomes¡±.

¡°While 바카라사이트 benefits of adopting an earnings metric need to be weighed against some drawbacks, on balance we think 바카라사이트 advantages predominate,¡± 바카라사이트 IFS analysis says.

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¡°In our view, appropriate contextualisation of 바카라사이트 result can largely avoid negative effects such as incentivising an undue focus on labour market skills at 바카라사이트 expense of o바카라사이트r aspects of course quality, or penalising providers for enabling graduates to obtain jobs in 바카라사이트ir chosen field where 바카라사이트se are lower paid.¡±

tom.williams@ws-2000.com

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Reader's comments (2)

I am not an expect on 바카라사이트 topic, but don't this make all 바카라사이트 London Uni's look much better than cheaper places in 바카라사이트 UK simply because 바카라사이트 starting salary of someone saying in London (I would say quite likely after spending 3-4 years 바카라사이트re) is going to be nominally higher even if it doesn't have 바카라사이트 same spending power?
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So 바카라사이트 more effort a university puts into encouraging 바카라사이트ir graduates into jobs in finance and 바카라사이트 more 바카라사이트y discourage 바카라사이트m from going into teaching or nursing, 바카라사이트 more successful that university would be according to this metric. That does not seem a sensible way to incentivise universities.

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