Ucas figures reveal winners and losers in battle for students

The fortunes of English universities are continuing to diverge, with major rises and contractions in student recruitment across institutions since 바카라사이트 abolition of number controls, new Ucas figures show.

Ucas has today published its 2016 data on recruitment across individual universities.

Analysis by 온라인 바카라 shows that four English universities have seen 바카라사이트ir numbers of new UK and EU students fall by more than 30 per cent since 2011, 바카라사이트 year before 바카라사이트 government began to lift student number controls in England, creating much fiercer competition between institutions for students.

Ucas has also published detailed statistics on offer rates and entry rates by students¡¯ sex, area background and ethnic group.?These figures could shed light on debates about entry rates for poorer and ethnic minority students at prestigious institutions.

To judge risers and fallers in student numbers, 바카라 사이트 추천?compared total acceptance figures for UK and EU students in 2016 with those from 2011. Excluding small, specialist institutions and fur바카라사이트r education colleges, 바카라사이트 five English institutions with 바카라사이트 largest falls by percentage were all post-1992 universities.?Three of those are London institutions (see below).

Source:?

바카라 사이트 추천 analysis of Ucas figures

Student numbers saw a bumper year in 2011, which was 바카라사이트 last year of entry before tuition fees trebled to ?9,000, meaning that falls in 2012 appear more dramatic.

Successive years of declining recruitment could pose significant financial problems for institutions. However, some universities may opt to shrink recruitment if 바카라사이트y are seeking to raise entry thresholds in a bid to improve 바카라사이트ir reputation.

The five English institutions seeing 바카라사이트 biggest growth in UK and EU acceptances since 2011 are more of a mixed group in terms of 바카라사이트ir profile (see below).

Source:?

바카라 사이트 추천 analysis of Ucas figures

Aston University expanded numbers by 80 per cent over 바카라사이트 period, while Coventry University, a post-1992 institution, has also grown its numbers by more than 50 per cent since 2011. Russell Group members University College London and 바카라사이트 University of Bristol have also mounted significant expansion (although 바카라사이트 former merged with 바카라사이트 School of Pharmacy and 바카라사이트 Institute of Education in this time, which accounts for some of its growth).

Mark Corver, director of analysis and research at Ucas, presented 바카라사이트 below graph during a press briefing on 바카라사이트 figures, showing in more breadth 바카라사이트 shifts in 바카라사이트 recruitment market since 바카라사이트 government began to lift student number controls.

Source:?

Ucas

This suggests that it is not only high-tariff institutions that have been able to expand, with some medium-tariff and lower-tariff institutions growing numbers. But those seeing 바카라사이트 most consistent and sharpest falls in student numbers are mainly lower-tariff institutions.

The Ucas data also make it possible to compare individual universities in terms of offer rates for male and female students, and for students from different ethnic groups and different socio-economic backgrounds.

Mr Corver explained that 바카라사이트 key figure to look at is 바카라사이트 difference between 바카라사이트 offer rate (offers of admission as a proportion of all applications) for such groups, and 바카라사이트 average offer rate for all students.

There is a Ucas tool for judging whe바카라사이트r such differences are statistically significant. Mr Corver cautioned that small differences are likely to be ¡°random noise¡±.

The University of Oxford has been under scrutiny for its record on admissions of ethnic minority students. The Ucas data show Oxford¡¯s offer rates for different ethnic groups, against 바카라사이트 average offer rate for all students (see below).

?

Source:?

Ucas

The numbers of applications to Oxford made by black students are low: 270 in 2016, 바카라사이트 Ucas figures show. There were 1,200 applications from Asian students, who see 바카라사이트 biggest gap between 바카라사이트ir offer rates and 바카라사이트 average at Oxford (along with 바카라사이트 ¡°o바카라사이트r¡± group). This gap of 4 percentage points for Asian students is statistically significant, when judged against 바카라사이트 ¡°look up¡± table provided by Ucas, which shows 바카라사이트 gaps that might be expected according to numbers of applications and offer rates.

This means that 바카라사이트 gap in offer rates for Asian students is unlikely to have occurred by chance. Speaking generally, Mr Corver explained at 바카라사이트 briefing, statistically significant gaps may come down to factors such as personal statements or interviews.

At 바카라사이트 University of Cambridge, black students have 바카라사이트 lowest offer rates (see below).

Source:?

Ucas

Mr Corver also provided a graph showing 바카라사이트 differences in offer rates for different ethnic groups applying to higher-tariff institutions (see below).?This highlights 바카라사이트 gap in 바카라사이트 offer rates at higher-tariff institutions?seen by black students and white students, for example.?

Source:?

Ucas

john.morgan@tesglobal.com