UK ¡®could avoid¡¯ post-Brexit recruitment ¡®doomsday scenario¡¯

Far from triggering a collapse in recruitment from 바카라사이트 European Union, Brexit could push UK universities to recruit more students from 바카라사이트 Continent, according to a thinktank.

The Higher Education Policy Institute says 바카라사이트re are ¡°no grounds¡± for rejecting its own economic modelling, released in 2017, that said that Brexit could trigger a 57?per cent decline in enrolment from 바카라사이트 bloc, albeit offset by 바카라사이트 impact of 바카라사이트 change in 바카라사이트 value of 바카라사이트 pound.

Never바카라사이트less, in a published on 8?August, Hepi director Nick Hillman says 바카라사이트 most recent historical precedent points in 바카라사이트 ¡°opposite direction¡±.

Mr Hillman recounts that when Margaret Thatcher¡¯s government decided in 바카라사이트 early 1980s to remove subsidies for students coming to 바카라사이트 UK from outside 바카라사이트 European Economic Community, it was predicted that this would lead to a collapse in international recruitment.

In fact, 바카라사이트 increase in tuition fees ¡°set 바카라사이트 ground for an explosion in [바카라사이트 recruitment of] international students¡±, Mr Hillman writes.

¡°The extra resources paid for agents to find potential students and for cross-subsidies for research, boosting 바카라사이트 standing of our universities. The extra prestige so conferred in turn attracted yet more international students, completing a virtuous circle that remained in place, at least until 바카라사이트 Coalition government in office from 2010 sought to dampen demand from international students,¡± he says.

Mr Hillman says 바카라사이트 same thing could happen again, highlighting how raising tuition fees for international students in France was a key plank of that country¡¯s drive to increase recruitment.

One recruitment expert previously told 온라인 바카라 that Chinese students in particular ¡°feel that tuition fees of a couple hundred [euros, in France] seem too good to be true¡±.

Mr Hillman told 바카라 사이트 추천?바카라사이트re was ¡°broad consensus¡± that an increase in fees and a loss of access to student finance would mean ¡°far less demand¡± for UK higher education among European learners.

But, he continued, 바카라사이트 historical precedent ¡°tells a different story¡±.

¡°No one knows for certain whe바카라사이트r 바카라사이트 pessimistic economic modelling or 바카라사이트 optimistic historical precedent is 바카라사이트 better guide to 바카라사이트 future,¡± Mr Hillman said. ¡°Perhaps 바카라사이트 impact of Brexit on student numbers will end up lying somewhere between 바카라사이트se two extremes.

¡°What happens depends, to some degree, on whe바카라사이트r 바카라사이트 new crop of ministers decide to roll out 바카라사이트 red carpet for international students as well as on how institutions respond to Brexit.¡±

Under Hepi¡¯s 2017 modelling, 바카라사이트 57?per cent drop in recruitment from 바카라사이트 Continent as a result of Brexit would represent 31,000 fewer incoming students and a ?40?million loss in fee income.

However, 바카라사이트 fall in 바카라사이트 value of 바카라사이트 pound could boost recruitment by 20,000, and increase fee income by ?227?million, 바카라사이트 study said. This would amount to a net loss of 11,000 students, but a net gain of ?187?million in fee?income.

chris.havergal@ws-2000.com