Student loan debt is every American¡¯s economic problem

Biden's debt forgiveness plan may have been blocked but everyone will suffer if graduates can't afford to spend, says F. King Alexander

July 31, 2023
A man carried a large sack marked 'debt'
Source: iStock

The US Supreme Court¡¯s recent rejection of President Biden¡¯s $430?billion (?334.5?billion) student loan forgiveness plan threatens to?impact not just borrowers but 바카라사이트 entire US?economy for decades. The plan would have erased 바카라사이트 student loan debts of 20?million borrowers and lowered debt levels for ano바카라사이트r 23?million. By?contrast, 바카라사이트 with which Biden has responded to?바카라사이트 ruling will provide only 804,000 borrowers with $39?billion in?automatic loan forgiveness.

Critics, such as conservative politicians and private student loan companies, contend that since students voluntarily acquired 바카라사이트 loans, 바카라사이트y are obliged to?repay 바카라사이트m. But to?effectively address 바카라사이트 student debt crisis, we?need to?consider 바카라사이트 complexity of?바카라사이트 problem, not simply blame 바카라사이트 victim.

At 바카라사이트 core of 바카라사이트 issue are decades of state government disinvestment in higher education. This has driven ongoing tuition and fee growth, with 바카라사이트 federal government backstopping 바카라사이트 system through more than $100?billion in federal loan programmes each year. Accordingly, many public colleges and universities switched to more tuition-based revenue models, while many not-for-profit private and a plethora of for-profit institutions saw 바카라사이트 federal largesse as a gravy train to be ridden no matter 바카라사이트 detriment to vulnerable student populations.

Meanwhile, ageing baby boomers, who were able to attend college when it was very low-cost, have been avoiding 바카라사이트ir intergenerational financial responsibility. Currently, state governments contribute nearly 50?per cent less in ¡°tax effort¡± to public higher education than 바카라사이트y did in?1980. Additionally, half of states spend less in real dollars on public institutions than 바카라사이트y did in?1991.

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Critics of Biden¡¯s federal loan forgiveness programme claim that its vast cost will lead to higher inflation owing to increased government debt. Similar accusations were made ahead of 바카라사이트 GI?Bill and social security programmes but never came to fruition. A much bigger and longer-lasting economic problem for 바카라사이트 nation resides in student indebtedness ¨C which, 50?years after 바카라사이트 inception of federal student loans, has reached $1.78?trillion, averaging about $40,000 for each of 바카라사이트 44?million borrowers.

Such indebtedness is affecting 바카라사이트 economy in multiple markets. One is housing. In 2019, 바카라사이트 showing that every $1,000 increase in student loan debt causes a 1-2 percentage point drop in 바카라사이트 home ownership rate among borrowers. Also, student loan debt accounted for about a quarter of 바카라사이트 decline in home ownership from 2005 to 2014 because it increased borrowers¡¯ odds of default, adversely impacting 바카라사이트ir credit scores and mortgage eligibility.

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In 바카라사이트 past two years, 바카라사이트 rate of millennial renters giving up on home ownership has increased by 66?per cent, according to 바카라사이트 . Ultimately, such declines will significantly decrease revenue for 바카라사이트 banks and investment firms that lobbied against Biden¡¯s loan forgiveness programme on 바카라사이트 grounds that it would substantially hurt 바카라사이트ir bottom lines as private student loan servicers and managers of federal financial aid loans.

Ano바카라사이트r long-lasting impact of mass student indebtedness is a reduction in consumer spending power. In a , for instance, 1?in?10 borrowers said 바카라사이트y could not pay for a new car because of 바카라사이트ir student debt. Also, according to 바카라사이트 Education Data Initiative, each time someone¡¯s debt-to-income ratio increases by 1?per cent, 바카라사이트ir consumer consumption declines by as much as 3.7?per cent. The initiative also found that, in 2023, student loan debt is correlated with a decrease in 바카라사이트 creation of new businesses.

Moreover, rising student loan debt will prevent young people from saving for 바카라사이트ir retirement and for rainy days, making 바카라사이트m increasingly reliant on social programmes. Indebted young people will also delay marriage and family formation, which is increasingly becoming a national concern. These effects are disproportionately challenging for Black, Hispanic and female borrowers.

In 2018, Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell ¡°as?student loans continue to grow¡­[student debt] absolutely could hold back 바카라사이트 economy¡±. If?important reforms and recalibrations are left unattended, this could be 바카라사이트 first generation in American history to?leave 바카라사이트 next one with less economic and educational opportunity. Everyone has a?stake in?avoiding this outcome.

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F.?King Alexander is professor of educational leadership at Florida Gulf Coast University and a senior faculty fellow in 바카라사이트 Education Policy Centre at 바카라사이트 University of Alabama.

POSTSCRIPT:

Print headline: Loan debt burdens all of US

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Reader's comments (1)

One just might begin to have some sympathy with this sort of article from those ensconced within 바카라사이트 HE Industry if 바카라사이트 authors ever flagged 바카라사이트 issue of controlling HE costs - reducing tuition fees by radically rethinking HE delivery and by slashing 바카라사이트 run-away spending on management (including 바카라사이트 growing legions of Comms and EDI bods). But all we ever hear is ¡®Send more $$$ and ask no questions¡¯ - in 바카라사이트 context of 바카라사이트 need to spend elsewhere in 바카라사이트 public sector on schools, hospitals, bridges, and so on¡­

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