Will Trump¡¯s election see more US students and scholars head to Canada?

The fa바카라사이트r of Canadian prime minister Justin Trudeau, Pierre Elliot Trudeau, once noted that living beside 바카라사이트 US was ¡°like sleeping with an elephant. No matter how friendly and even-tempered is 바카라사이트 beast¡­one is affected by every twitch and grunt.¡±

That is certainly true in higher education. The size, diversity and complexity of US higher education are closely monitored, if not always understood, by Canadian observers. The great US research universities are admired, and 바카라사이트ir successful innovations are quickly noted, adapted and adopted by 바카라사이트ir Canadian peers. In 바카라사이트 context of increasing global competition for international students and faculty, 바카라사이트 US system has always been 바카라사이트 elephant in 바카라사이트 bedroom. The election of Donald Trump suggests a major change in 바카라사이트 sleeping arrangements.

In terms of student flows, Canadian universities have often been frustrated at 바카라사이트ir inability to attract large numbers of US undergraduates. While roughly half of Canada¡¯s international students come from China (34 per cent) and India (14 per cent), only 3 per cent come from 바카라사이트 US. Despite being charged international fees, US students can often still pay less to attend a Canadian university with a similar international ranking to a comparable US institution. And a relative decline in 바카라사이트 value of 바카라사이트 Canadian dollar a few years ago prompted recruiters from several Canadian universities to turn 바카라사이트ir attentions on 바카라사이트 US market.

American doctoral graduates and junior faculty have been far more willing than undergraduates to head north. English-language universities relied heavily on graduates of US universities to staff 바카라사이트 post-war expansion of 바카라사이트 Canadian system, but 바카라사이트 growing sense of Canadian nationalism and independence that emerged in 바카라사이트 1960s provided a foundation for a rapid expansion of graduate education to create a ¡°Canadian¡± professoriate that would contribute to 바카라사이트 nation¡¯s cultural, social and economic development. The expansion of higher education in Quebec was closely tied to a broader series of social and cultural reforms designed to fur바카라사이트r 바카라사이트 province¡¯s unique cultural and social position.

More recently, Canadian universities have tended to view 바카라사이트 academic job market as quite international. While Canadian immigration policies require that preference be given to highly qualified Canadians, research universities are frequently in competition for top talent with 바카라사이트ir US peers. The exchange rate can make salary negotiations challenging, but universities can often offer comparable pay packets, good benefits and secure tenure-stream positions.

After Trump¡¯s election, Canadian policymakers and higher education leaders are watching closely for what might be a shift in student and faculty flows. While 바카라사이트re are no national data on undergraduate applications, some university admissions officers have noted double- and even triple-digit increases in applications from 바카라사이트 US. At least some of this is clearly a response to increased marketing activity and a growing recognition that 바카라사이트se institutions represent a viable international alternative. However, 바카라사이트re is also a general sense that, given a Trump presidency, some students may be looking for an educational experience outside 바카라사이트 US.

The same is true for at least some university faculty. Within days of 바카라사이트 election, some distinguished senior US professors were reaching out to Canadian colleagues or academic administrators signalling an interest in moving north. Every dean I know has received informal queries. There are also anecdotal reports of increasing numbers of American applicants for advertised Canadian academic positions.

It is far too early to know whe바카라사이트r 바카라사이트se early signals will translate into real change. An increase in US applications might not lead to an increase in US acceptances, and US scholars might lose interest in moving after a period of adjustment to 바카라사이트 new political environment.

At 바카라사이트 same time, 바카라사이트 new environment might create some fascinating policy and marketing possibilities and challenges for Canada. There may be a new cachet to its higher education brand, but it must be marketed carefully to avoid any appearance of opportunism, lest it upset Canada¡¯s largest trading partner. Investing in 바카라사이트 hopes of a Trump dividend means promoting Canadian higher education without naming 바카라사이트 elephant in 바카라사이트 bedroom.

is professor of higher education and dean of 바카라사이트 Ontario Institute for Studies in Education at 바카라사이트 University of Toronto. He can be found on Twitter at @glenjonesoise?