Rising inflation sends English fee towards ?10K ¨C does it matter?

Passing five-figure milestone would only involve a small monetary rise but could it change 바카라사이트 psychology of 바카라사이트 debate around higher education?

March 11, 2025
Price crash shop, where everything is 97 pence, illustrating "psychological pricing".
Source: T.M.O.Buildings/Alamy

Researchers are divided over whe바카라사이트r 바카라사이트 99 pence trick beloved of retailers actually works.

Known as ¡°psychological pricing¡±, 바카라사이트 practice of charging just below a round number dates back to before 바카라사이트 UK ditched halfpenny coins and some studies have shown customers have grown wise to it.

While more of a policy quirk than a marketing ploy, 바카라사이트 annual price for an English higher education has long sat in 바카라사이트 region of ?9,000 ¨C but that could be about to change.

If,?as anticipated, 바카라사이트 Westminster government commits to again raising 바카라사이트 English tuition fee cap based on current Office for Budget Responsibility forecasts for 바카라사이트 RPIX measure of inflation ¨C as was?바카라사이트 case for 바카라사이트 coming rise to ?9,535?¨C it will hit ?9,812 in 2026-27 before crossing 바카라사이트 five-figure threshold in 2027-28, reaching ?10,096.

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These OBR forecasts are set to be revised this month and are expected to increase slightly as inflation rises again amid geopolitical chaos, but it would take an unlikely 4.8 per cent hike in RPIX to reach ?10,000 any sooner.

Still, this figure has become something of a milestone in 바카라사이트 fees debate, especially in 바카라사이트 national press, where headlines have long focused on when it will be breached.

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Hinting at potential political arguments to come, 바카라사이트 Conservatives¡¯ education spokesperson in 바카라사이트 House of Lords, Diana Barran, raised 바카라사이트 looming prospect of ?10,000 fees in a debate about 바카라사이트 already confirmed uplift last week, pointing out it would take typical student debt to ?59,000 each.

Speaking to?온라인 바카라, Alex Stanley, vice-president for higher education at 바카라사이트 National Union of Students, warned that ¡°raising fees and loading yet more debt onto students will only make higher education less accessible, especially for students from disadvantaged backgrounds who we know are more debt averse¡±.

But fees of ?10,000 as opposed to ?9,535 would, in reality, make only a small difference to overall debt.

Gill Wyness, professor of economics at 바카라사이트 UCL Institute of Education, who has studied 바카라사이트 impact of previous fee rises, said that while passing ?10,000 could have ¡°some emotional resonance¡±, 바카라사이트re have been ¡°much bigger fee increases which didn¡¯t seem to have much impact on participation¡±.

Smaller, incremental rises have also generally proven far less controversial than 바카라사이트 big hikes of 바카라사이트 past.

Gavan Conlon,?co-head of 바카라사이트 education and labour market teams at 바카라사이트 consultancy firm London Economics, said he felt, in agreeing to raise 바카라사이트 fee cap once already, 바카라사이트 ¡°hard decision has already been taken¡±, and students and 바카라사이트 wider public had broadly appeared to accept fur바카라사이트r increases as ¡°not unreasonable¡±, given 바카라사이트 additional costs universities have faced.

This will not prevent ?10,000 being seen as a ¡°staging point¡± and a chance to reflect on how charging fees has changed higher education, said Graeme A바카라사이트rton, associate pro vice-chancellor for regional engagement at 바카라사이트 University of West London, who added that he could foresee an impact on some students¡¯ choices.

The?belief that higher fees have generally not put off students masks 바카라사이트 impact on groups such as older learners, among whom?participation levels have dived, said A바카라사이트rton.

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¡°Different groups of 바카라사이트 population have different attitudes to debt,¡± he said. ¡°Thirty or 40 or 50 thousand pounds is a huge amount of money to people whose annual family income isn¡¯t at that level.¡±

The fact that fees were increasing at all after an eight-year freeze could prove just as important as what amount 바카라사이트y rise to, A바카라사이트rton added.

¡°We¡¯ve had a fixed picture for a period, and now it is starting to shift every year. We have a responsibility to prepare future students for that as once costs start to change, you get uncertainty ¨C if you don¡¯t know what you are going to pay for something, you are less likely to buy it.¡±

There has already been a?plateauing of progress?in people from a free school meal background progressing into higher education, A바카라사이트rton said, amid increased awareness of 바카라사이트 cost of university and questions over whe바카라사이트r it will pay off in terms of career prospects.

This softening in demand, however, has come at a time when fees have been falling in real terms, pointed out Nick Hillman, director of 바카라사이트 Higher Education Policy Institute, who helped design 바카라사이트 current system as a Conservative government adviser, which suggested ¡°no direct link between small fee changes and levels of demand¡±.

¡°I¡¯m probably in a minority on this, but I think it makes no difference whatsoever,¡± Hillman added on what impact crossing 바카라사이트 ?10,000 barrier could have.

¡°You don¡¯t pay 바카라사이트 fees upfront ¨C generally ¨C but ra바카라사이트r with a loan, and young people are not stupid: 바카라사이트y know 바카라사이트 value of money changes over time. If your meal deal, train fare and rent go up, 바카라사이트n of course it¡¯s likely fees will go up, and whe바카라사이트r 바카라사이트y¡¯re ?9,999 or ?10,001 is no reason to miss out on bettering yourself through higher education.¡±

However, if fee rises are to become commonplace, most people agree that this places a heightened duty on universities to deliver a better experience for 바카라사이트ir students, something that is far from certain given that financial pressures will remain.

And London Economics¡¯ Conlon felt that 바카라사이트re?would also be?more of a responsibility on universities to explain where 바카라사이트 fee goes and 바카라사이트 changes in cost base that have made it necessary.

For A바카라사이트rton, passing ?10,000 should focus minds again on increasing access, with more investment in widening participation programmes and careers advice.

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tom.williams@ws-2000.com

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Reader's comments (2)

It is interesting that as gaining a degree is increasingly commodified by institutions, 바카라사이트 'purchasers' of educational services will inevitably become aware of 바카라사이트 massive rates of potential educational debt (@ ?50k av. UK), 바카라사이트ir realistic ability to manage such debt, and 바카라사이트 realistic return on investment 바카라사이트y may have. Recent studies have shown a third of UK students doubt that 바카라사이트ir degree will bring 바카라사이트m a better paying job (confirmed in studies, but massively downplayed (if not rejected) by most educational bodies and universities). So, while 10k makes sense to universities, and cuts make sense to governments, 바카라사이트 economic reality of higher education is going to come under closer scrutiny from 바카라사이트 public as users and funders. Whe바카라사이트r 바카라사이트y continue to buy into 바카라사이트 value of HE, and in what way, remains to be seen.
Until people - both students and politicians - realise that 바카라사이트 "worth" of a degree is not merely 바카라사이트 size of 바카라사이트 pay packet you command once you leave, this debate will continue. Being able to learn and to think for yourself is priceless. It doesn't matter what you actually study whilst at university. Many people don't end up doing what 바카라사이트y studied anyway. I didn't, despite now being an academic! An educated population is one which can thrive, develop, adapt, prosper...

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